TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$1,208,226

Jackson McVey

 - Kalshi

Jackson McVey - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 5:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jackson McVey

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$366,123
N/A
N/A
$254,255
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,455
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

McVey to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$371
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Wesley Schultz

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$438,182
N/A
N/A
$356,768
Settled
No
polymarket

Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$390,967
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,490
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,339
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$942
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$306
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Schultz to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the UFC Fight Night bout between Wes Schultz and Jackson McVey, scheduled for August 22, 2026, will go the distance. The aggregated consensus probability for the fight going the distance is 10.0% across Polymarket and Kalshi. Resolution is based on official UFC announcements. Watch for updates leading up to the event on August 22, 2026, as they could affect the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the same official UFC declarations and criteria for outcomes, methods of victory, and round duration thresholds.Primary resolution logic: Official UFC announcements

Core resolution logic:

  • The fight winner is determined by the official UFC declaration.
  • Methods of victory (KO/TKO, submission) are determined by the official UFC announcement.
  • Round duration thresholds are met if the fight continues past the specified round and time mark as per UFC records.
  • Draws, no contests, cancellations, or postponements beyond September 5, 2026, result in 50-50 resolutions for applicable markets.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Threshold: If the fight ends exactly at the threshold for round duration markets, it resolves to 50-50.
  • Disqualification: If the fight ends in disqualification, it resolves to 'No' for method of victory markets and may affect other markets based on specific criteria.
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately following the official UFC declaration of the fight result, which is typically announced shortly after the fight concludes.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Wes Schultz" if Wes Schultz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jackson McVey at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Jackson McVey" if Jackson McVey is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Schultz vs McVey professional MMA fight originally scheduled for August 22, 2026. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled fight concludes within two weeks. A tie or no contest results in a 50/50 resolution for both fighters, while cancellation or rescheduling beyond two weeks leads to a fair price resolution. These rules apply equally to both fighters' markets and are independent of any endorsement claims by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Schultz vs. McVey fight outcome market aggregates betting data across multiple venues, showing real-time probabilities and volume trends. It tracks how traders on different platforms price the chances of various fight results, offering a consensus view of market expectations. This cross-platform view includes total volume of $1,208,226 and 24-hour volume of $1,109,527, helping users see where interest is concentrated and how sentiment shifts over time.