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406,422

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30,383

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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UFC Fight Night: Trevor Peek vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Prelims)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Trevor Peek vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$1,414,794

Kurtis Campbell

 - Kalshi

Kurtis Campbell - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 4:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kurtis Campbell

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$390,985
N/A
N/A
$295,995
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,743
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,253
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,828
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trevor Peek

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$577,732
N/A
N/A
$473,964
Settled
No
polymarket

Trevor Peek vs. Kurtis Campbell

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$415,444
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,354
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Peek to win by KO/TKO?

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,665
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Campbell to win by KO/TKO?

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$588
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$165
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the UFC Fight Night bout between Trevor Peek and Kurtis Campbell will go over or under 0.5 rounds. Currently, the aggregated probability across Polymarket and Kalshi indicates a 99.6% chance of the fight going over 0.5 rounds. Resolution will be based on official information from the UFC. Keep an eye on the fighters’ health and training updates leading up to the scheduled bout on September 5, 2026, as any injuries could significantly impact the fight’s duration.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the same official UFC outcomes, with consistent handling of edge cases like draws, No Contests, and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the UFC

Core resolution logic:

  • Winner markets resolve to the officially declared winner (Peek or Campbell)
  • Method markets (KO/TKO, Submission) resolve based on the official method of victory
  • Duration markets (O/U rounds) resolve based on the exact round and time the fight ends
  • All markets resolve to 50-50 for cancellations, postponements beyond September 19, 2026, No Contests, or unresolved outcomes

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Draw or Technical Draw: Resolved as 50-50 for winner markets; resolved as 'Yes' for 'Fight to Go the Distance' if all scheduled rounds are completed
  • No Contest / Canceled / Postponed: All markets resolve to 50-50 if the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026
  • Exact Threshold for Round Markets: If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., exactly at the end of Round 1 for O/U 0.5 Rounds), the market resolves to 50-50
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official UFC declaration of the fight result, no later than September 19, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Trevor Peek" if Trevor Peek is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kurtis Campbell at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026. It will resolve to "Kurtis Campbell" if Kurtis Campbell is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes if the specified fighter wins the originally scheduled professional MMA fight. If postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled fight concludes within two weeks. Ties or no contests result in a 50/50 resolution for both markets, while cancellations or reschedules exceeding two weeks trigger a fair price adjustment. These markets are independently operated and not endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Peek vs Campbell fight market aggregates real-time data from multiple prediction platforms, showing how traders price the chances of different outcomes. It displays total volume of $1,414,794 and 24-hour volume of $1,357,801, letting you see where interest is concentrated. The view updates continuously, so you can watch how sentiment shifts as the event approaches. This centralized tracking makes it easy to compare activity across venues and spot emerging trends in the market.