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UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win the UFC Fight Night women's strawweight bout between Ricci and Kline?

Volume:
$2,956,075

Fatima Kline

 - Kalshi

Fatima Kline - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 19, 2026

Closed: Jul 18, 9:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fatima Kline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$932,634
N/A
N/A
$724,512
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,647
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,016
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$367
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$82
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tabatha Ricci

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,726,725
N/A
N/A
$1,455,303
Settled
No
polymarket

Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$286,309
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,495
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kline to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$848
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$763
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ricci to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the women's strawweight UFC fight between Tabatha Ricci and Fatima Kline, including fighter winner, method of victory, and fight duration. The aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Kalshi shows 100.0% probability for the Over/Under 0.5 Rounds outcome based on data from UFC.com. Watch for the fight scheduled on July 18, 2026, at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman to determine final settlement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi provides only a binary winner market with no method-of-victory or round-duration markets, while Polymarket offers comprehensive outcome-method and timing specifications. Kalshi's resolution criteria for draws, no contests, and postponements are not explicitly defined.Hero tip: Treat Kalshi as a simple winner-only market. Use Polymarket's method and round markets for detailed outcome hedging. Confirm with Kalshi whether a draw or no contest results in a push (50-50 equivalent) or a loss for both sides before the fight.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers 9 distinct markets: winner (Ricci/Kline), distance (Yes/No), KO/TKO (general, Ricci-specific, Kline-specific), submission, and round thresholds (O/U 0.5/1.5/2.5). All markets explicitly resolve 50-50 for draw, technical draw, no contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 1, 2026. Key Quote: 'If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 1, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Single binary market: resolves Yes if Tabatha Ricci wins OR if Fatima Kline wins. No method-of-victory, round-duration, or draw/no-contest resolution criteria specified. Key Quote: 'If Tabatha Ricci wins the Ricci vs Kline professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Fatima Kline wins the Ricci vs Kline professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Tabatha Ricci" if Tabatha Ricci is officially declared the winner of the fight against Fatima Kline at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Fatima Kline" if Fatima Kline is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

Resolution depends on the official fight outcome. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled bout concludes within two weeks. Ties or no-contests resolve at 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two weeks, the market resolves to a fair price per standard rules.

Frequently asked questions

The Ricci vs. Kline UFC fight dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing traders to monitor real-time odds on multiple outcomes related to this women's strawweight matchup. You can track consensus pricing on fight results, method of victory, and other event-specific props as they evolve. The dashboard displays current odds, historical price movements, and cross-platform volume to help you compare how different markets are pricing the same underlying event. This unified view makes it easier to spot pricing discrepancies and identify trading opportunities before the bout takes place.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct regulatory and structural models. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, often incorporating sharp-money signals and closing lines before events. Prediction markets, by contrast, aggregate trader beliefs through continuous order flow, sometimes reflecting longer-term sentiment or niche information. Both venues can offer value, but prediction market odds may diverge from sportsbook lines due to different participant pools, liquidity depth, and fee structures. Comparing the two can reveal mispricings and inform your overall trading strategy.

Fighter news, injury reports, and training camp updates are primary catalysts that can shift odds significantly. Social media activity, media coverage, and analyst commentary often influence trader sentiment in the weeks leading up to fight night. Weigh-in results, last-minute fighter withdrawals, or opponent changes would trigger sharp repricing across both platforms. Betting action from professional syndicates and sharp money can also move lines as the event approaches. Close monitoring of official UFC announcements, fighter statements, and credible MMA media will help you anticipate and react to market-moving developments.