TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
polymarket

UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$538,805

Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic

 - Polymarket

Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 10:34 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$531,841
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$560
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,261
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,822
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,520
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Luciano to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$638
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spasic to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market on Polymarket tracks whether Stephanie Luciano versus Marina Spasic at UFC Fight Night will end in a submission victory. The current probability for the fight being won by submission stands at 100%. Resolution will be based on official results listed at https://www.ufc.com/events. The outcome will be determined following the official declaration of the winner at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026, with the market set to resolve by August 2, 2026.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Stephanie Luciano" if Stephanie Luciano is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marina Spasic at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026. It will resolve to "Marina Spasic" if Marina Spasic is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the UFC women's strawweight fight market. It shows how traders are betting on the outcome of Stephanie Luciano versus Marina Spasic, with updates reflecting market sentiment and liquidity. The interface displays current top outcome probabilities and volume of $538,805 to help users monitor activity and trends as the event approaches.

This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official declaration of the winner in the UFC strawweight bout between Stephanie Luciano and Marina Spasic, and the market updates automatically to reflect that official outcome.

Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates, training camp performance, media hype, and any last-minute changes to the fight card. Major news such as a fighter pulling out or a surprise coaching change can cause rapid reevaluation of probabilities. As Aug 2, 2026 approaches, every detail—from weigh-ins to pre-fight interviews—may influence trader sentiment and volume.