TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 12:00 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Song Yadong" if Song Yadong is officially declared the winner of the fight against Deiveson Figueiredo at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo, scheduled for May 30, 2026. It will resolve to "Deiveson Figueiredo" if Deiveson Figueiredo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
On Predict, this bantamweight main event is priced as a binary outcome contract reflecting the probability each fighter wins. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, where the price directly represents the implied probability. As new information emerges—fighter injury reports, training camp updates, or betting action—the price adjusts dynamically. The current market price for Song Yadong and Deiveson Figueiredo reflects the collective assessment of all active traders on Predict, with volume and liquidity determining how quickly prices respond to new signals.
The market resolves on May 30, 2026, following the official conclusion of the UFC Fight Night event. Resolution is determined by the official fight result as announced by the UFC and confirmed by credible MMA sources. The outcome will reflect the winner as declared in the octagon, whether by knockout, submission, decision, or disqualification. Once the fight concludes and the result is verified, the market automatically settles, paying out traders who correctly predicted the outcome and closing positions for those on the losing side.
Several catalysts could shift odds for this Song Yadong vs. Figueiredo matchup before May 30, 2026. Injury announcements or fighter withdrawals would dramatically reprrice the market. Training camp reports, sparring footage, or public statements from either fighter's camp can influence trader sentiment. Weigh-in results and official fighter health clearances matter significantly. Major MMA news—such as rankings changes, title implications, or recent performances by comparable opponents—may also move the needle. As fight week approaches, media narratives, betting action from sharp bettors, and any last-minute venue or rule changes could trigger notable price movement on Predict.