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UFC Fight Night: Sofia Montenegro vs. Delphine Benouaich (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Sofia Montenegro vs. Delphine Benouaich (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$827,878

Delphine Benouaich

 - Kalshi

Delphine Benouaich - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 12:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Delphine Benouaich

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$422,267
N/A
N/A
$303,609
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$198
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sofia Montenegro

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$303,049
N/A
N/A
$239,156
Settled
No
polymarket

Sofia Montenegro vs. Delphine Benouaich

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94,970
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,910
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$319
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Montenegro to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Benouaich to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the UFC Fight Night bout between Sofia Montenegro and Delphine Benouaich, in the Women’s Strawweight division, will be won by submission. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket and Kalshi is 100.0% for a submission victory. Resolution will be based on official information from the UFC, and will consider outcomes including win by either fighter, draw, no contest, cancellation, or postponement. Keep an eye on the official fight result announcement from the UFC following the event on September 5, 2026, as this will determine market settlement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the same official UFC result for the fight, with consistent handling of draws, no contests, cancellations, and postponements.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the UFC

Core resolution logic:

  • The fight result is determined by the official UFC declaration post-event.
  • Markets resolve to specific outcomes (e.g., winner, method, rounds) based on the official result.
  • Draws, no contests, cancellations, or postponements beyond September 19, 2026, result in 50-50 resolution where applicable.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Draw or No Contest: Markets resolve to 50-50 or 'No' depending on the specific market rules, as per official UFC declaration.
  • Postponement Beyond September 19, 2026: All markets resolve to 50-50 where applicable, per official UFC announcement.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official UFC announcement of the fight result, no later than September 19, 2026, if the event is postponed or canceled.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Sofia Montenegro" if Sofia Montenegro is officially declared the winner of the fight against Delphine Benouaich at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026. It will resolve to "Delphine Benouaich" if Delphine Benouaich is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Benouaich vs Montenegro professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If Delphine Benouaich wins, her market resolves to Yes; if Sofia Montenegro wins, hers resolves to Yes. If the fight is postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled fight concludes within two weeks. A tie or no contest results in a 50/50 resolution for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two weeks, the market resolves to a fair price as determined by the rules. These markets are not endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC, and any references to UFC are descriptive only.

Frequently asked questions

In the lead-up to resolution, this market could shift based on fight announcements, fighter injuries, training updates, and betting trends. Media coverage highlighting either competitor’s performance in sparring sessions or changes in training camp conditions may also influence trader sentiment. As the event nears, any last-minute adjustments or public statements from the fighters or coaches often cause noticeable movement in the odds on both platforms.