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UFC Fight Night: Sean Woodson vs. Jack Jenkins (Featherweight, Prelims)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Sean Woodson vs. Jack Jenkins (Featherweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$1,478,963

Sean Woodson

 - Kalshi

Sean Woodson - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 29, 2026

Closed: Aug 29, 5:09 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sean Woodson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$630,194
N/A
N/A
$402,348
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sean Woodson vs. Jack Jenkins

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$203,098
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,132
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,797
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,966
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$965
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jack Jenkins

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$626,948
N/A
N/A
$439,112
Settled
No
polymarket

Woodson to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,852
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jenkins to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$499
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$319
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the UFC Featherweight prelim fight between Sean Woodson and Jack Jenkins will last over or under 2.5 rounds. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome, O/U 2.5 Rounds, is 100.0% across Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official information from the UFC. The key date to watch is August 29, 2026, which is the scheduled fight date.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi share identical resolution logic based on official UFC results, with consistent handling of edge cases like draws, no contests, and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the UFC

Core resolution logic:

  • Winner markets resolve to the officially declared winner (Woodson or Jenkins); 50-50 for draws, no contests, or cancellations
  • Method markets (KO/TKO, Submission) resolve based on the official method of victory; 50-50 for edge cases
  • Duration markets (O/U rounds) resolve based on whether the fight crosses specified round thresholds; 50-50 for exact thresholds or cancellations

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Draw or No Contest: All markets resolve to 50-50 unless specifically stated otherwise (e.g., draws resolve as 'Yes' for 'Fight to Go the Distance')
  • Cancellation/Postponement: All markets resolve to 50-50 if the fight is canceled or postponed beyond September 12, 2026
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official UFC declaration of results, no later than September 12, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Sean Woodson" if Sean Woodson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jack Jenkins at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Jack Jenkins" if Jack Jenkins is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

If Jack Jenkins wins the Jenkins vs Woodson professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sean Woodson wins the Jenkins vs Woodson professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Woodson vs. Jenkins fight market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of various outcomes. It tracks volume of $1,478,963 and 24-hour volume of $1,095,989, letting you see consensus and divergence across venues. The view updates continuously, so you can monitor sentiment shifts as the event approaches. This centralized snapshot helps users compare odds and spot trends before the fight, giving a clear picture of market dynamics for this specific matchup.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because of differences in user base, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, if one platform has more active traders focused on this market, its odds may adjust faster to new information. Additionally, each venue may have distinct listing structures or fee models that influence how traders place bets, leading to variations in implied probabilities even when the underlying event is the same.