TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a UFC Fight Night welterweight preliminary bout between Phil Rowe and Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani scheduled for February 21, 2026, at UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez. Markets span fighter outcome, method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), distance (round thresholds), and fight completion.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's fighter outcome market contains a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive outcomes (Rowe wins, Lebosnoyani wins) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's markets are logically sound with proper mutual exclusivity and edge case handling.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's fighter outcome market. It is unresolvable due to logical contradiction. Trade Polymarket's fighter outcome market and all method-of-victory and round threshold markets, which maintain consistent resolution logic.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Fighter outcome market maps both possible winners to Yes resolution. If Phil Rowe wins = Yes. If Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani wins = Yes. This violates mutual exclusivity and creates an impossible resolution state. No edge case handling provided for draw, no contest, or cancellation.Polymarket:
Fighter outcome market resolves to 'Phil Rowe' if Rowe wins, 'Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani' if Lebosnoyani wins, and '50-50' for draw, technical draw, no contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 7, 2026. All method-of-victory markets (KO/TKO, submission, distance) follow consistent logic with proper edge case handling and 50-50 resolution for cancellation/postponement beyond March 7, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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