TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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UFC Fight Night: Phil Rowe vs. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (Welterweight, Prelims)
kalshi
polymarket

UFC Fight Night: Phil Rowe vs. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (Welterweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$542,374

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

 - Kalshi

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 22, 2026

Will Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani win the Rowe vs Lebosnoyani professional MMA fight scheduled for Feb 21, 2026?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$158,217
0%
0%
$153,411
N/A
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,106
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,742
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$175
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$144
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Phil Rowe vs. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$250,213
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Phil Rowe

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$122,163
0%
0%
$117,846
N/A
polymarket

Rowe to win by KO/TKO?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,432
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$81
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Lebosnoyani to win by KO/TKO?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 11

Description

This event group covers a UFC Fight Night welterweight preliminary bout between Phil Rowe and Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani scheduled for February 21, 2026, at UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez. Markets span fighter outcome, method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), distance (round thresholds), and fight completion.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's fighter outcome market contains a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive outcomes (Rowe wins, Lebosnoyani wins) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's markets are logically sound with proper mutual exclusivity and edge case handling.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's fighter outcome market. It is unresolvable due to logical contradiction. Trade Polymarket's fighter outcome market and all method-of-victory and round threshold markets, which maintain consistent resolution logic.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Fighter outcome market maps both possible winners to Yes resolution. If Phil Rowe wins = Yes. If Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani wins = Yes. This violates mutual exclusivity and creates an impossible resolution state. No edge case handling provided for draw, no contest, or cancellation.
  • Polymarket: Fighter outcome market resolves to 'Phil Rowe' if Rowe wins, 'Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani' if Lebosnoyani wins, and '50-50' for draw, technical draw, no contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 7, 2026. All method-of-victory markets (KO/TKO, submission, distance) follow consistent logic with proper edge case handling and 50-50 resolution for cancellation/postponement beyond March 7, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.