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24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

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$1,440,096,988

406,065

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30,522

events

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2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Alibi Idiris (Flyweight, Prelims)
kalshi
polymarket

UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Alibi Idiris (Flyweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$1,258,029

Alibi Idiris

 - Kalshi

Alibi Idiris - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 22, 2026

Will Alibi Idiris win the Osbourne vs Idiris professional MMA fight scheduled for Feb 21, 2026?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alibi Idiris

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$422,516
0%
0%
$298,607
N/A
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,693
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$718
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$333
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Osbourne vs. Idiris

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$527,586
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Ode Osbourne

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$304,762
0%
0%
$237,610
N/A
polymarket

Idiris to win by KO/TKO?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$188
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Osbourne to win by KO/TKO?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 11

Description

This event group covers multiple prediction markets for the UFC Fight Night preliminary flyweight bout between Ode' Osbourne and Alibi Idiris scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets include moneyline winner, fight distance (rounds), method of victory (submission, KO/TKO), and round-specific over/under thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction where both possible fight outcomes (Osbourne win and Idiris win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent binary resolution logic.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi moneyline markets for this fight. Use Polymarket winner market exclusively. All derivative markets (method, distance) across both platforms share consistent edge-case handling: draws, no-contests, and postponements beyond March 7, 2026 resolve 50-50.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline markets state both 'If Alibi Idiris wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Ode Osbourne wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where every outcome resolves Yes, making the market unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: Winner market resolves to 'Osbourne' if Ode' Osbourne is officially declared winner, 'Idiris' if Alibi Idiris is officially declared winner, and '50-50' for draw, technical draw, no-contest, or postponement beyond March 7, 2026. Clear binary logic with defined fallback.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.