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UFC Fight Night: Nora Cornolle vs. Klaudia Sygula (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
kalshi
polymarket

UFC Fight Night: Nora Cornolle vs. Klaudia Sygula (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$2,389,614

Nora Cornolle

 - Kalshi

Nora Cornolle - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 1:09 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nora Cornolle

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,139,915
N/A
N/A
$591,986
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nora Cornolle vs. Klaudia Sygula

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$395,720
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,378
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$834
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Klaudia Sygula

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$836,705
N/A
N/A
$488,391
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$697
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$559
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sygula to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$499
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cornolle to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$305
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the UFC Fight Night bout between Nora Cornolle and Klaudia Sygula will go over or under 0.5 rounds. Currently, the aggregated probability across Kalshi and Polymarket indicates a 99.6% chance of the fight lasting over 0.5 rounds. Resolution will be based on official information from the UFC. Keep an eye on the fight itself, scheduled for September 5, 2026, as the outcome will determine whether the fight concludes before or after the 0.5 round mark.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi share identical resolution logic tied to official UFC results with consistent handling of draws, no contests, and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the UFC

Core resolution logic:

  • Winner markets resolve to the declared winner's name unless fight ends in draw, no contest, or is canceled/postponed beyond September 19, 2026
  • Method markets (KO/TKO, Submission) resolve only if specified finish occurs; otherwise resolve No unless fight is canceled/postponed
  • Round duration markets resolve based on whether fight crosses specified round/time thresholds, with exact thresholds resolving as 50-50
  • All markets resolve to 50-50 for cancellations, postponements beyond September 19, 2026, no contests, or scoring failures

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Draw or Technical Draw: Winner markets resolve 50-50; method markets resolve No; round duration markets resolve Yes only if full scheduled rounds are completed
  • No Contest / Canceled / Postponed: All markets resolve 50-50 regardless of original fight scheduling
  • Exact Threshold Crossings: Markets with round thresholds (e.g., O/U 0.5 Rounds) resolve 50-50 if fight ends exactly at threshold time
Timing: Resolution occurs after official UFC announcement of final fight results, no later than September 19, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Nora Cornolle" if Nora Cornolle is officially declared the winner of the fight against Klaudia Sygula at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026. It will resolve to "Klaudia Sygula" if Klaudia Sygula is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Cornolle vs Sygula professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If Nora Cornolle wins, her market resolves to Yes; if Klaudia Sygula wins, hers resolves to Yes. If the fight is postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled fight concludes within two weeks. A tie or no contest results in a 50/50 resolution for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two weeks, the market resolves to a fair price as determined by the rules. These markets are not endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC, and any references to UFC are descriptive only.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Cornolle vs Sygula fight market aggregates real-time data from multiple prediction platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of various outcomes. It displays current probabilities, trading volume, and recent shifts in sentiment across venues, allowing users to gauge market consensus and compare how Polymarket and Kalshi users evaluate this matchup.

Price differences between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from varying user bases, liquidity levels, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, if one platform has deeper volume or more active traders, its prices may adjust faster to new information. Additionally, each venue may have distinct market designs or fee structures that influence how traders place bets, leading to divergent odds even for the same event.

Key signals that could shift this market include fight-related news such as training updates, injury reports, or changes in betting momentum from high-profile analysts. Media coverage highlighting either fighter’s advantages, as well as any last-minute adjustments to fight conditions, can also cause traders to re-evaluate probabilities and adjust their positions accordingly.