TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)

Volume:
$1,499,933

Matheus Camilo

 - Kalshi

Matheus Camilo - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 1:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Matheus Camilo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$226,536
N/A
N/A
$177,296
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$308
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Camilo to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$145
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$695,306
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nazim Sadykhov

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$491,809
N/A
N/A
$477,114
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76,906
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,035
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sadykhov to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,615
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,025
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$129
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 11

Description

This event group covers a UFC lightweight bout between Nazim Sadykhov and Matheus Camilo scheduled for June 27, 2026, at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres. Markets span multiple outcome dimensions: winner determination, method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), fight duration (round thresholds), and distance completion.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket provides comprehensive, outcome-specific markets with explicit edge-case handling (50-50 for No Contest, cancellation, postponement beyond July 11). Kalshi provides only a binary winner-determination market with no method-of-victory or duration markets, and lacks explicit edge-case definitions.Hero tip: Use Polymarket for granular bets on method of victory (KO/TKO, submission) or fight duration (round thresholds). Kalshi's binary winner market is suitable only for simple winner prediction; clarify Kalshi's default resolution for draws and No Contests before trading, as these are not explicitly defined.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Eight distinct markets covering winner, method of victory (KO/TKO by either fighter, submission, decision), round duration thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5), and distance completion. All markets explicitly resolve to 50-50 if bout is No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 11, 2026. Key Quote: 'If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 11, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Single binary market: resolves Yes if either Sadykhov or Camilo wins the fight scheduled for June 27, 2026. No method-of-victory, duration, or explicit edge-case definitions provided. Key Quote: 'If Matheus Camilo wins the Sadykhov vs Camilo professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Nazim Sadykhov" if Nazim Sadykhov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Matheus Camilo at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres, scheduled for June 27, 2026. It will resolve to "Matheus Camilo" if Matheus Camilo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

This market covers the professional MMA fight between Nazim Sadykhov and Matheus Camilo originally scheduled for June 27, 2026. Resolution depends on the fight's official outcome: if Sadykhov wins, that market resolves to Yes; if Camilo wins, that market resolves to Yes. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled fight concludes within two weeks. In the event of a tie or no contest, both fighter markets resolve to 50/50. Should the fight be cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with established rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market pricing for the Sadykhov vs. Camilo UFC fight across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing you to monitor real-time consensus on the lightweight matchup. Traders on both platforms are pricing the outcome independently, creating a cross-platform view of where smart money expects this bout to land. The aggregated volume and price movements reflect collective conviction as fight day approaches, giving you insight into how the market's assessment evolves over time.

Prediction markets like these operate on continuous trading rather than fixed odds, meaning prices shift dynamically as new information emerges and traders adjust positions. Unlike traditional sportsbooks, which set and manage lines to balance action, prediction markets reflect live consensus probability. This often results in tighter spreads and faster price discovery, though sportsbook odds may incorporate additional factors like sharp action or liability management that differ from pure crowd sentiment.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and regulatory frameworks, which can lead to temporary price gaps. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have distinct market structures—one might emphasize binary outcomes while the other frames the question differently—causing subtle shifts in how traders interpret and price the same event. Arbitrage opportunities between platforms typically narrow these gaps over time as traders exploit mispricings.