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402,751

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2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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UFC Fight Night: Namsrai Batbayar vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Namsrai Batbayar vs. Andre Lima?

Volume:
$952,287

Andre (Bra) Lima

 - Kalshi

Andre (Bra) Lima - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 29, 2026

Closed: Aug 29, 6:04 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Andre (Bra) Lima

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$395,565
N/A
N/A
$335,623
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,147
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,375
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,134
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Namsrai Batbayar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$398,111
N/A
N/A
$332,931
Settled
No
polymarket

Namsrai Batbayar vs. Andre Lima

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$134,844
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,615
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Batbayar to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$718
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Lima to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$550
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$223
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the Namsrai Batbayar vs. Andre Lima UFC Fight Night bout will last over or under 2.5 rounds. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome, O/U 2.5 Rounds, is 100.0% across Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official UFC announcements and records. Watch for the scheduled fight date on August 29, 2026, as it will determine the final outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the same official UFC outcomes and share consistent rules for win conditions, method of victory, rounds, and cancellation/postponement scenariosPrimary resolution logic: Official UFC announcements and records

Core resolution logic:

  • The fight winner is determined by the UFC's official declaration
  • KO/TKO includes referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage
  • Submission includes tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission
  • Draws resolved as specified per market (e.g., 'Yes' for 'Fight to Go the Distance')
  • No Contest, cancellation, or postponement beyond September 12, 2026 resolves as '50-50' or equivalent
  • Round thresholds evaluated at precise time markers (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for O/U 0.5 Rounds)

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Threshold: If a fight ends exactly at the threshold time for over/under round markets, it resolves as 50-50
  • Disqualification: Any market specifying resolution for disqualification will resolve as 'No' or equivalent unless explicitly stated otherwise
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official UFC announcement of the fight result, no later than September 12, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Namsrai Batbayar" if Namsrai Batbayar is officially declared the winner of the fight against Andre Lima at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Andre Lima" if Andre Lima is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

If Namsrai Batbayar wins the Batbayar vs Lima professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andre (Bra) Lima wins the Batbayar vs Lima professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.