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UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card)
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev?

Volume:
$3,518,231

Michael Page

 - Kalshi

Michael Page - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 5:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Michael Page

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,132,384
N/A
N/A
$702,831
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$576,828
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$22,424
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,304
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nursulton Ruziboev

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,767,570
N/A
N/A
$1,218,927
Settled
No
polymarket

Page to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,945
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,831
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ruziboev to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$809
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the UFC Fight Night bout between Michael Page and Nursulton Ruziboev, scheduled for September 5, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev winning is 100.0%, as aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. Resolution will be based on the official UFC announcements and records. Keep an eye on the official weigh-in results on September 4, 2026, as a potential signal of fighter readiness and any last-minute changes that could impact the fight.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi share consistent resolution criteria tied to the official UFC result for the fight, with clear rules for draws, no contests, cancellations, and method-specific outcomes.Primary resolution logic: Official UFC announcements and records

Core resolution logic:

  • The fight winner determines the resolution for the main outcome market, with draws, no contests, cancellations, or postponements beyond September 19, 2026 resolving as 50-50
  • Method of victory markets (KO/TKO, submission) resolve based on how the fight ends, with specific conditions for each method and 50-50 for cancellations, draws, or no contests
  • Round duration markets (O/U rounds) resolve based on whether the fight lasts beyond specified round thresholds, with exact thresholds resulting in 50-50 and cancellations/postponements also resolving as 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Draw or No Contest: Resolves as 50-50 for all markets unless specifically stated otherwise (e.g., 'Fight to Go the Distance' resolves 'Yes' for draws decided by scorecards)
  • Cancellation or Postponement: All markets resolve as 50-50 if the fight is canceled or postponed beyond September 19, 2026
  • Exact Threshold in Round Markets: If the fight ends exactly at the threshold for over/under round markets, it resolves as 50-50
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official declaration of the fight result by the UFC, typically immediately following the event or shortly thereafterOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Michael Page" if Michael Page is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nursulton Ruziboev at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026. It will resolve to "Nursulton Ruziboev" if Nursulton Ruziboev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official outcome of the Page vs Ruziboev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for September 5, 2026. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled fight concludes, provided it finishes within two weeks of the original date. Should the bout end in a tie or no contest, the market resolves as a 50/50 split for both participants. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks after the original date, the market resolves at a fair price as determined by the rules. These conditions ensure the market adapts to real-world scheduling changes while maintaining clarity on how different fight outcomes affect resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the UFC middleweight title fight market aggregates data across multiple venues, showing real-time probabilities, volume of $3,518,231, and 24-hour volume at $3,255,918. It provides a consensus view of how traders on different platforms price the fight’s possible outcomes, letting users compare sentiment and spot shifts in expectation as the event approaches.

In the run-up to resolution, this market can shift based on weigh-in results, training updates, injury reports, or changes in fighter rankings. Media interviews and betting trends may also influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute developments — even minor — often trigger rapid re-pricing, so monitoring news feeds and social media buzz is key to anticipating movement.