TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
Volume:
$1,534,202
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market will resolve to "Mayra Bueno Silva" if Mayra Bueno Silva is officially declared the winner of the fight against Michelle Montague at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Michelle Montague" if Michelle Montague is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi use identical resolution logic: markets resolve based on the official UFC outcome, with consistent handling of edge cases including cancellations, postponements beyond May 9, 2026, and no-contests resolving to 50-50.
Primary resolution logic:
Official information from the UFC (ufc.com/events)Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves YES if Mayra Bueno Silva is declared the official winner by the UFC.
- Market resolves YES if Michelle Montague is declared the official winner by the UFC.
- Exactly ONE fighter will resolve YES in the head-to-head matchup market.
- KO/TKO markets resolve YES only if the specified fighter wins by knockout, technical knockout, referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage.
- Submission markets resolve YES only if the fight ends by tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission.
- Distance markets (Over/Under rounds) resolve based on the exact time the fight ends relative to the specified round threshold.
- Fight to Go the Distance resolves YES only if the bout reaches all scheduled rounds and is decided by judges' scorecards.
- Draws, disqualifications, and technical decisions before all rounds are completed resolve NO for applicable markets.
- If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, all markets resolve 50-50.
- If a round threshold is hit exactly (e.g., 2:30 of the specified round), the market resolves 50-50.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement Beyond May 9, 2026: If the fight is postponed beyond May 9, 2026, all markets in the group resolve 50-50 regardless of eventual outcome.
- No Contest or Not Scored: If the bout is ruled a No Contest or not scored by the UFC, all markets resolve 50-50.
- Exact Round Threshold: For Over/Under round markets, if the fight ends exactly at the threshold time (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for 1.5 Rounds), the market resolves 50-50.
- Draw or Disqualification: If the fight ends in a draw or either fighter is disqualified, KO/TKO and submission markets resolve NO, but the head-to-head matchup market resolves 50-50.
- Technical Decision Before All Rounds: If a technical decision is declared before all scheduled rounds are completed, the Fight to Go the Distance market resolves NO.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official UFC announcement of the fight result, with all markets settling based on the final official determination from the UFC.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.