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UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
kalshi
polymarket

UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$1,534,202

Michelle Montague

 - Kalshi

Michelle Montague - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 26, 2026

Closed: Apr 25, 10:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Michelle Montague

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$495,273
N/A
N/A
$366,558
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,795
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$849
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$648
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mayra Bueno Silva

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$597,328
N/A
N/A
$395,424
Settled
No
polymarket

Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$431,480
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$448
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bueno Silva to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Montague to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Mayra Bueno Silva" if Mayra Bueno Silva is officially declared the winner of the fight against Michelle Montague at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Michelle Montague" if Michelle Montague is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi use identical resolution logic: markets resolve based on the official UFC outcome, with consistent handling of edge cases including cancellations, postponements beyond May 9, 2026, and no-contests resolving to 50-50.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the UFC (ufc.com/events)

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves YES if Mayra Bueno Silva is declared the official winner by the UFC.
  • Market resolves YES if Michelle Montague is declared the official winner by the UFC.
  • Exactly ONE fighter will resolve YES in the head-to-head matchup market.
  • KO/TKO markets resolve YES only if the specified fighter wins by knockout, technical knockout, referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage.
  • Submission markets resolve YES only if the fight ends by tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission.
  • Distance markets (Over/Under rounds) resolve based on the exact time the fight ends relative to the specified round threshold.
  • Fight to Go the Distance resolves YES only if the bout reaches all scheduled rounds and is decided by judges' scorecards.
  • Draws, disqualifications, and technical decisions before all rounds are completed resolve NO for applicable markets.
  • If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, all markets resolve 50-50.
  • If a round threshold is hit exactly (e.g., 2:30 of the specified round), the market resolves 50-50.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement Beyond May 9, 2026: If the fight is postponed beyond May 9, 2026, all markets in the group resolve 50-50 regardless of eventual outcome.
  • No Contest or Not Scored: If the bout is ruled a No Contest or not scored by the UFC, all markets resolve 50-50.
  • Exact Round Threshold: For Over/Under round markets, if the fight ends exactly at the threshold time (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for 1.5 Rounds), the market resolves 50-50.
  • Draw or Disqualification: If the fight ends in a draw or either fighter is disqualified, KO/TKO and submission markets resolve NO, but the head-to-head matchup market resolves 50-50.
  • Technical Decision Before All Rounds: If a technical decision is declared before all scheduled rounds are completed, the Fight to Go the Distance market resolves NO.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon official UFC announcement of the fight result, with all markets settling based on the final official determination from the UFC.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.