TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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UFC Fight Night: Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse (Featherweight, Prelims)
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse?

Volume:
$1,117,700

Marcio Barbosa

 - Kalshi

Marcio Barbosa - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 6:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Marcio Barbosa

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$554,962
N/A
N/A
$510,486
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$147,858
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Barbosa to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$528
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$303
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$124
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ryan Kuse

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$405,925
N/A
N/A
$374,978
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,072
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,567
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kuse to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$726
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$442
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the UFC Fight Night bout between Marcio Barbosa and Ryan Kuse, scheduled for August 22, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability shows that Marcio Barbosa is expected to win with 100.0%. Data is drawn from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on official information from the UFC. Watch for the official fight result declaration on August 23, 2026, following the bout's conclusion.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets resolve based on the official UFC declaration of the fight result, with consistent handling of draws, No Contests, cancellations, and postponements across platforms.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the UFC

Core resolution logic:

  • The fight result is determined by the official UFC declaration.
  • Markets resolve to specific outcomes (win by decision, KO/TKO, submission, etc.) based on the official result.
  • Draws, No Contests, cancellations, or postponements beyond September 5, 2026, resolve to 50-50 for duration and method-specific markets.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Draw or No Contest: Resolves to 50-50 for markets concerning fight duration and method of victory. The winner markets resolve to 50-50 as well.
  • Cancellation or Postponement: If the fight is canceled or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, all markets resolve to 50-50.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official UFC declaration of the fight result, no later than September 5, 2026, for postponed or canceled fights.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Marcio Barbosa" if Marcio Barbosa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ryan Kuse at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Ryan Kuse" if Ryan Kuse is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Barbosa vs Kuse professional MMA fight originally scheduled for August 22, 2026. Should the fight be postponed or delayed, the market stays open until the rescheduled fight finishes, provided it occurs within two weeks of the original date. A tie or no contest results in a 50/50 resolution for both fighters, while cancellation or rescheduling beyond two weeks leads to a fair price resolution. These markets are not endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC, and any references to UFC are for descriptive purposes only.