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UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$1,997,166

Tofiq Musayev

 - Kalshi

Tofiq Musayev - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 12:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tofiq Musayev

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$842,476
N/A
N/A
$585,093
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$2,905
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$610
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Musayev to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$320
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ludovit Klein

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$818,099
N/A
N/A
$604,551
Settled
No
polymarket

Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$325,035
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,867
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,820
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Klein to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether Ludovit Klein will win the UFC Fight Night bout against Tofiq Musayev by KO or TKO. The aggregated consensus probability for this outcome stands at 100.0%, drawn from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official UFC announcements. The key catalyst to monitor is the scheduled fight date on August 1, 2026, which will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi share identical resolution criteria tied to official UFC declarations, with consistent handling of draws, no contests, and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official UFC announcements

Core resolution logic:

  • Winner markets resolve to the declared winner; draws and no contests follow specific 50-50 rules
  • Method-of-victory markets (KO/TKO, Submission) resolve only if the fight ends that way; otherwise 'No'
  • Over/Under round markets resolve based on whether fight duration crosses specified thresholds
  • Any cancellation, postponement beyond August 15, 2026, or unresolved outcome results in 50-50 resolution

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact threshold crossing: If a fight ends exactly at a round threshold (e.g., end of Round 1 for O/U 0.5), it resolves 50-50
  • Disqualification: Any DQ results in 'No' for method-of-victory markets and 50-50 for winner markets
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after official UFC announcement of the fight result, no later than August 15, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Ludovit Klein" if Ludovit Klein is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tofiq Musayev at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026. It will resolve to "Tofiq Musayev" if Tofiq Musayev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

If Ludovit Klein wins the Klein vs Musayev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tofiq Musayev wins the Klein vs Musayev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Klein vs Musayev fight outcome market aggregates predictions across multiple venues, showing how traders on different platforms price the likelihood of various outcomes. It displays real-time probabilities, volume of $1,997,166, and 24-hour volume of $1,591,886, letting users see consensus views and divergences as the event approaches.