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UFC Fight Night: Liu Ce vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Liu Ce vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Volume:
$1,683,074

CE Liu

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 29, 2026

Closed: Aug 29, 7:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

CE Liu

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$493,131
N/A
N/A
$392,184
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Liu Ce vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr.

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$453,468
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,213
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ce to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,485
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$108
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Levi Rodrigues Jr

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$700,694
N/A
N/A
$627,426
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,822
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,611
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Rodrigues Jr. to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$480
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the UFC Fight Night bout between Liu Ce and Levi Rodrigues Jr., scheduled for August 29, 2026, will end in a knockout or technical knockout. The aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Kalshi currently stands at 87.0%. All outcomes are resolved using official information from the UFC. Watch for the official declaration of the fight result on August 30, 2026, following the event.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across platforms resolve based on the same UFC official results, with consistent handling of draws, No Contests, cancellations, and postponements.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the UFC

Core resolution logic:

  • Winner markets resolve to the declared winner; draws or No Contests result in 50-50
  • Method of victory markets (KO/TKO, Submission) resolve only if the specified method occurs; otherwise No
  • Round-based markets (O/U) resolve based on whether the fight lasts beyond the specified round threshold; exact thresholds result in 50-50
  • Any cancellation, postponement beyond September 12, 2026, or fight not scored results in 50-50 for all markets

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Draw or Technical Draw: Resolves to 50-50 for winner markets and No for method of victory markets
  • No Contest or Disqualification: Resolves to 50-50 for all markets
  • Fight Ends Exactly at Threshold: Resolves to 50-50 for round-based markets
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official UFC declaration of the fight result, no later than September 12, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Liu Ce" if Liu Ce is officially declared the winner of the fight against Levi Rodrigues Jr. at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Levi Rodrigues Jr." if Levi Rodrigues Jr. is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

If CE Liu wins the Liu vs Rodrigues Jr professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Levi Rodrigues Jr wins the Liu vs Rodrigues Jr professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the UFC Liu Ce vs. Rodrigues Jr. fight market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of different outcomes. It tracks volume of $1,683,074 and 24-hour volume of $1,435,788, letting you see where interest is concentrated across Polymarket and Kalshi. The view updates continuously, reflecting the consensus as betting activity evolves.