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406,422

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UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Volume:
$1,344,067

Shamil Gaziev

 - Kalshi

Shamil Gaziev - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 7:20 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Shamil Gaziev

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$465,003
N/A
N/A
$381,972
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Gaziev to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,418
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kennedy Nzechukwu

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$619,515
N/A
N/A
$594,983
Settled
No
polymarket

Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$214,562
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,460
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,379
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
0%
83%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,048
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nzechukwu to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,564
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$664
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$340
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether Shamil Gaziev will win the UFC Fight Night bout against Kennedy Nzechukwu by KO or TKO. The aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Kalshi shows a 100.0% probability for Shamil Gaziev winning by KO or TKO. Resolution is based on official UFC announcements and fight records. Watch for updates as the event approaches its scheduled date of August 22, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi resolve using the same official UFC results and outcome criteria, with consistent handling of draws, No Contests, and cancellationsPrimary resolution logic: Official UFC announcements and fight records

Core resolution logic:

  • Winner markets resolve to the officially declared winner; 50-50 for draws, No Contests, or cancellations beyond September 5, 2026
  • Method markets (KO/TKO, Submission) resolve Yes only if that specific method is used; No for other finishes, draws, or disqualifications
  • Duration markets (O/U rounds) resolve Over/Under based on actual round completion; 50-50 for exact thresholds, No Contests, or cancellations
  • Fight-to-Go-the-Distance resolves Yes only if all scheduled rounds are completed with a judges' scorecard decision

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Threshold Timing: If a fight ends exactly at a round threshold (e.g., end of Round 1 at 2:30), O/U markets resolve 50-50
  • Disqualification: Any market involving method of victory or winner by specific method resolves No if the fight ends in disqualification
  • Technical Draw/Decision: Resolved as No for KO/TKO and Submission markets; Fight-to-Go-the-Distance resolves Yes if all rounds are completed
Timing: Resolution occurs after official UFC announcement of fight results, typically within 24 hours of the eventOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Kennedy Nzechukwu" if Kennedy Nzechukwu is officially declared the winner of the fight against Shamil Gaziev at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Shamil Gaziev" if Shamil Gaziev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Nzechukwu vs Gaziev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for August 22, 2026. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled fight concludes, provided it occurs within two weeks of the original date. Should the fight end in a tie or no contest, both markets resolve at 50/50. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks after the original date, the market resolves to a fair price as determined by the rules. Neither market claims endorsement from Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC), and any references to the UFC are purely descriptive.

Frequently asked questions

The UFC heavyweight fight market dashboard aggregates data from multiple venues, showing real-time consensus and divergence across platforms. It tracks the collective view of traders on outcomes like wins, methods, and fight specifics, reflecting how the market prices probabilities as fight date approaches. This centralized view helps users compare sentiment and spot shifts in expectations, all centered around the UFC heavyweight fight market.