TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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UFC Fight Night: Julius Walker vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Julius Walker vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$830,636

Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

 - Kalshi

Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 11:24 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$212,535
N/A
N/A
$197,632
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Yakhyaev to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$472
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Julius Walker

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$304,790
N/A
N/A
$276,059
Settled
No
polymarket

Julius Walker vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$296,714
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,538
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Walker to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,142
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$239
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 11

Description

This event group covers a UFC Fight Night preliminary bout between Julius Walker and Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev scheduled for June 27, 2026, at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres. Markets span winner determination, fight duration, and method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, or decision).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction that makes it fundamentally unresolvable. The market states it resolves Yes if either fighter wins, which covers all non-draw outcomes but provides no actual prediction mechanism. Polymarket offers a complete, coherent framework; Kalshi does not.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's market as written. If forced to settle, escalate to Kalshi support for clarification. All reliable resolution logic comes from Polymarket's detailed specifications, which align with standard UFC settlement practices.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Eight distinct markets with unified resolution framework: (1) Winner determination (Walker vs. Yakhyaev, 50-50 on draw/NC/postponement past July 11); (2) Distance (Yes if full rounds completed and judges score); (3) KO/TKO (Yes if either fighter wins by KO/TKO/stoppage); (4) Walker KO/TKO (Yes only if Walker wins by KO/TKO); (5) Yakhyaev KO/TKO (Yes only if Yakhyaev wins by KO/TKO); (6) Submission (Yes if fight ends by submission); (7-9) Round thresholds (Over/Under 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 rounds). All reference official UFC sources. Key quote: 'If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 11, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Single binary market with contradictory logic: 'If Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Julius Walker wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves Yes in all decisive outcomes, creating no predictive value. No edge-case handling defined. No resolution source specified. Key quote: 'If [either fighter] wins the Yakhyaev vs Walker professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Julius Walker" if Julius Walker is officially declared the winner of the fight against Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres, scheduled for June 27, 2026. It will resolve to "Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev" if Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

This market covers the professional MMA fight between Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev and Julius Walker originally scheduled for June 27, 2026. Resolution depends on the fight's official outcome: if Yakhyaev wins, that market resolves to Yes; if Walker wins, that market resolves to Yes. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled fight concludes within two weeks. In the event of a tie or no contest, both fighter markets resolve to 50/50. Should the fight be cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with established rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price fights differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and lock in profit margins, often adjusting for sharp money and public betting patterns. Prediction markets, by contrast, rely on trader consensus and financial incentives to forecast accurately—participants profit by being right, not by moving volume. This market may show wider or narrower spreads than traditional sportsbooks depending on liquidity, trader conviction, and whether new information has reached one venue before the other.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and regulatory frameworks. Polymarket and Kalshi may see price gaps due to variations in trading volume, fee structures, user base geography, and the timing of information flow. Arbitrage traders typically narrow these spreads, but temporary divergences persist when one platform receives breaking news or experiences higher participation. Monitoring both venues reveals which fighter the broader prediction market community favors most confidently.