TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Carli Judice (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)
Volume:
$659,258
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers multiple prediction markets for the UFC Fight Night preliminary bout between Juliana Miller and Carli Judice (Women's Flyweight division) scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets span fighter winner, method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), fight duration thresholds, and distance completion.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's primary win market contains a logical contradiction: both Miller and Judice winning cannot both resolve to Yes. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written and creates irreconcilable conflict with Polymarket's mutually exclusive outcome structure.Hero Tip:
Do not rely on Kalshi's win market for settlement. Use Polymarket's explicit winner resolution (Miller or Judice) as the authoritative source. Kalshi's market will require platform clarification or manual settlement override. Flag this for PredictionHero compliance review before any settlement execution.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Win market states: 'If Juliana Miller wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Carli Judice wins... resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible—both outcomes cannot both be Yes. No explicit handling of draws, no contests, or postponements. Outcome space is undefined.
- Polymarket: Winner market resolves to 'Miller' if Miller wins, 'Judice' if Judice wins, and '50-50' for draw, technical draw, no contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 7, 2026. Mutually exclusive outcomes with explicit edge-case handling. Method markets (KO/TKO, submission, distance) partition all possible fight outcomes correctly.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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