TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a UFC Fight Night main card featherweight bout between Josh Emmett and Kevin Vallejos scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets span fight outcome (moneyline), method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), and fight duration thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 rounds).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket explicitly defines 50-50 resolution for draws, no contests, and cancellations on the moneyline market; Kalshi's market structure omits these edge cases, creating ambiguity on non-decisive outcomes.Hero Tip:
On Polymarket, you have clarity: draws and no contests resolve 50-50. On Kalshi, clarify whether non-decisive results default to No or remain unresolved. If trading both platforms, hedge your moneyline exposure accordingly. Always confirm the fight occurs by March 28, 2026 on Polymarket or the original March 14 date on Kalshi.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to Josh Emmett, Kevin Vallejos, or 50-50 for draw, technical draw, no contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026. All method-of-victory and duration markets also include 50-50 fallback for non-scored or canceled bouts. Key Quote: 'If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.'Kalshi:
Moneyline resolves to Yes if Josh Emmett wins OR if Kevin Vallejos wins. No explicit resolution path for draws, no contests, or cancellations is provided in the source data. Key Quote: 'If Josh Emmett wins the Emmett vs Vallejos professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kevin Vallejos wins the Emmett vs Vallejos professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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