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404,028

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UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)

Volume:
$1,879,484

Kevin Vallejos

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 15, 2026

Closed: Mar 15, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kevin Vallejos

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$208,786
N/A
N/A
$176,052
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Vallejos to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,335
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$584
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Josh Emmett

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,217,932
N/A
N/A
$1,145,480
Settled
No
polymarket

Emmett to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,965
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$403,140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,603
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 3.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,767
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,723
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$750
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$475
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 4.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This event group covers a UFC Fight Night main card featherweight bout between Josh Emmett and Kevin Vallejos scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets span fight outcome (moneyline), method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), and fight duration thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 rounds).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly defines 50-50 resolution for draws, no contests, and cancellations on the moneyline market; Kalshi's market structure omits these edge cases, creating ambiguity on non-decisive outcomes.Hero tip: On Polymarket, you have clarity: draws and no contests resolve 50-50. On Kalshi, clarify whether non-decisive results default to No or remain unresolved. If trading both platforms, hedge your moneyline exposure accordingly. Always confirm the fight occurs by March 28, 2026 on Polymarket or the original March 14 date on Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to Josh Emmett, Kevin Vallejos, or 50-50 for draw, technical draw, no contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026. All method-of-victory and duration markets also include 50-50 fallback for non-scored or canceled bouts. Key Quote: 'If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Moneyline resolves to Yes if Josh Emmett wins OR if Kevin Vallejos wins. No explicit resolution path for draws, no contests, or cancellations is provided in the source data. Key Quote: 'If Josh Emmett wins the Emmett vs Vallejos professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kevin Vallejos wins the Emmett vs Vallejos professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.