TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala (Featherweight, Prelims)
Volume:
$1,387,741
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Jose Delano and Robert Ruchala are scheduled to compete in a featherweight preliminary bout at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan on April 4, 2026. Markets cover fight outcome (winner), method of victory (submission, KO/TKO, decision), duration thresholds (rounds), and whether the fight reaches full scheduled distance. All resolution sources reference official UFC records.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive, multi-outcome resolution logic across 8 distinct markets with detailed edge-case handling (submission, KO/TKO, distance, round thresholds, winner determination), while Kalshi offers only two binary YES/NO markets that collapse all possible outcomes into a single winner-determination question, creating fundamentally incompatible settlement frameworks.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Polymarket, you can hedge specific fight outcomes (submission, KO/TKO, distance, round duration) with precision. On Kalshi, both markets resolve YES if either fighter wins, making them functionally identical and unsuitable for outcome-specific hedging. Do not assume Kalshi markets provide granular fight-result coverage—they do not. Polymarket is the only platform offering true outcome diversity for this fight.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 8 separate markets, each resolving on a specific fight outcome dimension: submission (yes/no), KO/TKO by either fighter (yes/no each), distance (yes/no), and round duration thresholds at 0.5, 1.5, and 2.5 rounds (over/under each). Each market has independent resolution logic tied to official UFC data. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if Jose Delano is officially declared the winner of the fight against Robert Ruchala... It will resolve to Robert Ruchala if Robert Ruchala is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi provides only two markets, both of which resolve YES if either Jose Delano OR Robert Ruchala wins the fight, with no differentiation by outcome type (submission, KO/TKO, decision, distance). Both Kalshi markets are logically equivalent and collapse all fight outcomes into a single binary. Key quote: 'If Jose Delano wins the Delano vs Ruchala professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robert Ruchala wins the Delano vs Ruchala professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.