TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala (Featherweight, Prelims)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala (Featherweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$1,387,741

Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala

 - Polymarket

Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 5, 2026

Closed: Apr 4, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$518,960
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jose Delano

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$456,179
N/A
N/A
$319,990
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Delano to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$480
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,310
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,232
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$425
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$171
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Robert Ruchala

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$407,946
N/A
N/A
$329,607
Settled
No
polymarket

Ruchala to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$533
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$309
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$195
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

Jose Delano and Robert Ruchala are scheduled to compete in a featherweight preliminary bout at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan on April 4, 2026. Markets cover fight outcome (winner), method of victory (submission, KO/TKO, decision), duration thresholds (rounds), and whether the fight reaches full scheduled distance. All resolution sources reference official UFC records.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket provides comprehensive, multi-outcome resolution logic across 8 distinct markets with detailed edge-case handling (submission, KO/TKO, distance, round thresholds, winner determination), while Kalshi offers only two binary YES/NO markets that collapse all possible outcomes into a single winner-determination question, creating fundamentally incompatible settlement frameworks.Hero tip: If you trade on Polymarket, you can hedge specific fight outcomes (submission, KO/TKO, distance, round duration) with precision. On Kalshi, both markets resolve YES if either fighter wins, making them functionally identical and unsuitable for outcome-specific hedging. Do not assume Kalshi markets provide granular fight-result coverage—they do not. Polymarket is the only platform offering true outcome diversity for this fight.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 8 separate markets, each resolving on a specific fight outcome dimension: submission (yes/no), KO/TKO by either fighter (yes/no each), distance (yes/no), and round duration thresholds at 0.5, 1.5, and 2.5 rounds (over/under each). Each market has independent resolution logic tied to official UFC data. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if Jose Delano is officially declared the winner of the fight against Robert Ruchala... It will resolve to Robert Ruchala if Robert Ruchala is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi provides only two markets, both of which resolve YES if either Jose Delano OR Robert Ruchala wins the fight, with no differentiation by outcome type (submission, KO/TKO, decision, distance). Both Kalshi markets are logically equivalent and collapse all fight outcomes into a single binary. Key quote: 'If Jose Delano wins the Delano vs Ruchala professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robert Ruchala wins the Delano vs Ruchala professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.