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UFC Fight Night: Jamall Emmers vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Jamall Emmers vs. Lerryan Douglas?

Volume:
$1,833,631

Jamall Emmers

 - Kalshi

Jamall Emmers - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 7:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jamall Emmers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$750,825
N/A
N/A
$575,731
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jamall Emmers vs. Lerryan Douglas

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$170,868
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,156
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Emmers to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$627
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$296
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lerryan Douglas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$872,047
N/A
N/A
$816,903
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,808
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Douglas to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,600
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$579
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$393
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether Jamall Emmers will win the UFC Fight Night bout against Lerryan Douglas scheduled for August 22, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for Emmers winning stands at 99.0%. Data is drawn from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution determined by official UFC fight records and announcements. The outcome will be confirmed by the official UFC declaration following the fight's conclusion on August 22, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Kalshi and Polymarket share identical resolution criteria, including win conditions, method-of-victory definitions, round thresholds, and handling of draws/cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official UFC fight records and announcements

Core resolution logic:

  • Winner markets resolve to the declared winner; draws or cancellations resolve as 50-50 where applicable
  • Method-of-victory markets (KO/TKO, Submission) resolve only if the fight ends via that specific method; otherwise No
  • Round-based markets (O/U X.5 Rounds) resolve based on whether the fight crosses the 2:30 mark of the specified round
  • Any fight not occurring by September 5, 2026 (canceled, postponed, or not scored) triggers 50-50 resolution where permitted

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Threshold Timing: If a fight ends exactly at the 2:30 mark of a round (e.g., O/U 0.5 Rounds), it resolves as 50-50
  • Disqualification: Fights ending in disqualification resolve as No for method-of-victory markets and may trigger 50-50 for winner markets depending on platform rules
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official UFC declaration of the fight result, typically within 24-48 hours of the eventOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Jamall Emmers" if Jamall Emmers is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lerryan Douglas at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Lerryan Douglas" if Lerryan Douglas is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

If Jamall Emmers wins the Emmers vs Douglas professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lerryan Douglas wins the Emmers vs Douglas professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Emmers vs Douglas fight outcome market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the chances of each possible result. It displays current probabilities, volume of $1,833,631, and 24-hour volume of $1,470,484, letting you see consensus views across platforms. Because this market spans Polymarket and Kalshi, you can compare how each venue evaluates the fight dynamics, giving a broader picture of market sentiment as the event approaches.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each platform attracts different users and has unique liquidity conditions. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one venue might see heavier betting on a particular outcome due to regional fan interest or recent news, shifting its probability. Additionally, differing trading volumes — $1,833,631 across all venues versus $1,470,484 in the last day — can amplify small bets into larger price moves. These dynamics often cause the platforms to price this market differently until consensus stabilizes.