TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Volume:
$630,330
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a UFC Light Heavyweight bout between Ion Cutelaba and Oumar Sy scheduled for March 14, 2026, at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos. Markets span fight outcome (winner), method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), round duration thresholds, and distance completion.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive, method-specific resolution logic with detailed edge-case handling (KO/TKO, submission, distance, round thresholds, exact-time ties, no-contests, cancellations). Kalshi offers only a minimal binary outcome market with no method specification or explicit edge-case rules, creating scope and clarity divergence.Hero Tip:
Polymarket traders should rely on its detailed resolution criteria for all method-of-victory and duration markets. Kalshi traders should clarify with Kalshi support how draws, no-contests, and cancellations resolve before settlement, as the market description does not specify these outcomes. For hedging across platforms, treat Polymarket as the authoritative method-based reference and Kalshi as a simple binary win/loss gate.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Defines 10 distinct markets covering fight outcome (winner), method of victory (KO/TKO by either fighter, submission), round duration (O/U 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 rounds), and distance completion. Each market includes explicit edge-case resolution: draws, disqualifications, no-contests, and exact-threshold ties all resolve 50-50. Official UFC sources are the resolution authority. Key Quote: 'If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Provides a single binary market: 'If Oumar Sy wins... then Yes. If Ion Cutelaba wins... then Yes.' No method specification, no round duration markets, and no explicit handling of draws, no-contests, or cancellations. The market does not clarify how these outcomes resolve. Key Quote: 'If Oumar Sy wins the Cutelaba vs Sy professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.