TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

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61%

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UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Volume:
$630,330

Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy

 - Polymarket

Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 15, 2026

Closed: Mar 14, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$399,647
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ion Cutelaba

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$55,358
N/A
N/A
$52,307
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cutelaba to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$278
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$359
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$241
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$123,951
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Oumar Sy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,218
N/A
N/A
$46,569
Settled
No
polymarket

Sy to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,344
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$316
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$304
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event group covers a UFC Light Heavyweight bout between Ion Cutelaba and Oumar Sy scheduled for March 14, 2026, at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos. Markets span fight outcome (winner), method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), round duration thresholds, and distance completion.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket provides comprehensive, method-specific resolution logic with detailed edge-case handling (KO/TKO, submission, distance, round thresholds, exact-time ties, no-contests, cancellations). Kalshi offers only a minimal binary outcome market with no method specification or explicit edge-case rules, creating scope and clarity divergence.Hero tip: Polymarket traders should rely on its detailed resolution criteria for all method-of-victory and duration markets. Kalshi traders should clarify with Kalshi support how draws, no-contests, and cancellations resolve before settlement, as the market description does not specify these outcomes. For hedging across platforms, treat Polymarket as the authoritative method-based reference and Kalshi as a simple binary win/loss gate.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Defines 10 distinct markets covering fight outcome (winner), method of victory (KO/TKO by either fighter, submission), round duration (O/U 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 rounds), and distance completion. Each market includes explicit edge-case resolution: draws, disqualifications, no-contests, and exact-threshold ties all resolve 50-50. Official UFC sources are the resolution authority. Key Quote: 'If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Provides a single binary market: 'If Oumar Sy wins... then Yes. If Ion Cutelaba wins... then Yes.' No method specification, no round duration markets, and no explicit handling of draws, no-contests, or cancellations. The market does not clarify how these outcomes resolve. Key Quote: 'If Oumar Sy wins the Cutelaba vs Sy professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.