TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)
Volume:
$3,580,159
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Gilbert Burns, a veteran welterweight contender, faces Mike Malott at UFC Fight Night on April 18, 2026. This event group encompasses markets tracking the fight outcome (winner, method of victory), fight duration (round thresholds), and specific finishing conditions. All markets resolve based on official UFC documentation and are subject to cancellation/postponement provisions through May 2, 2026.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi use identical resolution logic: markets resolve based on the official UFC declaration of the fight outcome, with consistent handling of edge cases including cancellations, postponements beyond May 2, 2026, and no-contests resolving to 50-50 or No as appropriate.
Primary resolution logic:
Official UFC information and announcementsCore resolution logic:
- All markets resolve based on the official UFC declaration of the fight result for UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott scheduled for April 18, 2026.
- Winner markets (Polymarket main event and Kalshi) resolve YES to the officially declared winner, or 50-50 if the fight ends in a draw, technical draw, no-contest, or is not scored.
- Method-of-victory markets (KO/TKO, submission) resolve YES only if the fight ends by that specific method, NO if it ends by another method or decision, and 50-50 if the bout is not scored or cancelled.
- Round duration markets (O/U 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 Rounds) resolve OVER if the fight continues past the specified round threshold, UNDER if it ends before, and 50-50 if it ends exactly at the threshold or the bout is not scored.
- Distance market resolves YES if the fight goes the full scheduled rounds and is decided by judges' scorecards (including judge-decided draws), NO otherwise, and 50-50 if not scored or cancelled.
- If the bout is cancelled, postponed beyond May 2, 2026, ruled a no-contest, or not scored, all applicable markets resolve 50-50.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement Cutoff: If the fight is postponed beyond May 2, 2026, all markets resolve 50-50 rather than being carried forward to a new date.
- Exact Round Threshold: For round duration markets, if the fight ends exactly at the threshold timestamp (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for O/U 2.5), the market resolves 50-50.
- Technical Decision vs. Distance: A technical decision or technical draw declared before all scheduled rounds are completed resolves NO on the Distance market, even if judges' scorecards are used.
- Disqualification Handling: If either fighter is disqualified, method-of-victory markets (KO/TKO, submission, winner) resolve NO or 50-50 depending on market type; the fight does not resolve to a winner by disqualification.
- Judge-Decided Draw: A draw decided by judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds resolve YES on the Distance market but 50-50 on the winner market.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official UFC announcement of the fight result, typically within hours of the bout conclusion. All markets settle simultaneously based on the same official UFC declaration.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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