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UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)
kalshi
polymarket

UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)

Volume:
$3,580,159

Mike Malott

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 19, 2026

Closed: Apr 19, 4:40 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mike Malott

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$701,652
N/A
N/A
$616,879
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$647,173
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Malott to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$634
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$406
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$363
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$131
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gilbert Burns

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,209,727
N/A
N/A
$1,974,965
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,718
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,377
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Burns to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,258
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 3.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$282
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$270
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

Gilbert Burns, a veteran welterweight contender, faces Mike Malott at UFC Fight Night on April 18, 2026. This event group encompasses markets tracking the fight outcome (winner, method of victory), fight duration (round thresholds), and specific finishing conditions. All markets resolve based on official UFC documentation and are subject to cancellation/postponement provisions through May 2, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi use identical resolution logic: markets resolve based on the official UFC declaration of the fight outcome, with consistent handling of edge cases including cancellations, postponements beyond May 2, 2026, and no-contests resolving to 50-50 or No as appropriate.Primary resolution logic: Official UFC information and announcements

Core resolution logic:

  • All markets resolve based on the official UFC declaration of the fight result for UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott scheduled for April 18, 2026.
  • Winner markets (Polymarket main event and Kalshi) resolve YES to the officially declared winner, or 50-50 if the fight ends in a draw, technical draw, no-contest, or is not scored.
  • Method-of-victory markets (KO/TKO, submission) resolve YES only if the fight ends by that specific method, NO if it ends by another method or decision, and 50-50 if the bout is not scored or cancelled.
  • Round duration markets (O/U 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 Rounds) resolve OVER if the fight continues past the specified round threshold, UNDER if it ends before, and 50-50 if it ends exactly at the threshold or the bout is not scored.
  • Distance market resolves YES if the fight goes the full scheduled rounds and is decided by judges' scorecards (including judge-decided draws), NO otherwise, and 50-50 if not scored or cancelled.
  • If the bout is cancelled, postponed beyond May 2, 2026, ruled a no-contest, or not scored, all applicable markets resolve 50-50.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement Cutoff: If the fight is postponed beyond May 2, 2026, all markets resolve 50-50 rather than being carried forward to a new date.
  • Exact Round Threshold: For round duration markets, if the fight ends exactly at the threshold timestamp (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for O/U 2.5), the market resolves 50-50.
  • Technical Decision vs. Distance: A technical decision or technical draw declared before all scheduled rounds are completed resolves NO on the Distance market, even if judges' scorecards are used.
  • Disqualification Handling: If either fighter is disqualified, method-of-victory markets (KO/TKO, submission, winner) resolve NO or 50-50 depending on market type; the fight does not resolve to a winner by disqualification.
  • Judge-Decided Draw: A draw decided by judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds resolve YES on the Distance market but 50-50 on the winner market.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon official UFC announcement of the fight result, typically within hours of the bout conclusion. All markets settle simultaneously based on the same official UFC declaration.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.