TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)

Volume:
$930,917

Eric McConico

 - Kalshi

Eric McConico - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 26, 2026

Closed: Apr 25, 11:20 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Eric McConico

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$393,843
N/A
N/A
$343,428
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$263,097
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,790
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$545
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rodolfo Vieira

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$266,198
N/A
N/A
$212,872
Settled
No
polymarket

McConico to win by KO/TKO?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$739
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$272
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$137
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Vieira to win by KO/TKO?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Eric McConico" if Eric McConico is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rodolfo Vieira at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Rodolfo Vieira" if Rodolfo Vieira is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market logic is fundamentally broken and resolves YES for all possible outcomes (both fighters winning), making it logically impossible to distinguish between mutually exclusive events. Polymarket markets are properly structured with mutually exclusive resolution paths.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi's Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira market entirely—it will resolve YES regardless of fight outcome, making it unresolvable and unhedgeable. Trade only on Polymarket, where resolution logic is sound and mutually exclusive outcomes are properly defined.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Polymarket defines 8 mutually exclusive resolution paths: McConico wins (by KO/TKO, submission, or decision), Vieira wins (by KO/TKO, submission, or decision), draw, or no-contest. Each market resolves to exactly one outcome. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Eric McConico if Eric McConico is officially declared the winner... It will resolve to Rodolfo Vieira if Rodolfo Vieira is officially declared the winner.'
  • Kalshi: Kalshi's logic contains a logical contradiction: 'If Eric McConico wins the Vieira vs McConico professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rodolfo Vieira wins the Vieira vs McConico professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES if McConico wins AND YES if Vieira wins—both outcomes trigger YES, leaving no path to NO resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.