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UFC Fight Night: Elise Reed vs. Shanelle Dyer (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
kalshi
polymarket

UFC Fight Night: Elise Reed vs. Shanelle Dyer (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$791,994

Shanelle Dyer

 - Kalshi

Shanelle Dyer - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 5:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Shanelle Dyer

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$345,410
N/A
N/A
$301,467
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dyer to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,263
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,110
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$505
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$449
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Elise Reed

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$341,126
N/A
N/A
$298,079
Settled
No
polymarket

Elise Reed vs. Shanelle Dyer

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$86,113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,034
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,684
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Reed to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This group of markets covers the outcome of the UFC Fight Night women's strawweight bout between Elise Reed and Shanelle Dyer, scheduled for August 22, 2026. Markets include fight winner, method of victory, rounds lasted, and specific finish types.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the same official UFC results and use identical criteria for determining outcomes including win conditions, method of victory, and fight duration thresholds.Primary resolution logic: Official UFC announcements and fight records

Core resolution logic:

  • Fight winner determined by official UFC declaration
  • Method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision) determined by official result
  • Round thresholds evaluated based on official round timing and stoppage points
  • Special conditions (draws, no contests, cancellations) follow unified rules across platforms

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Threshold: If a fight ends exactly at a round threshold (e.g., 2:30 mark), it resolves as 50-50 for over/under markets
  • Disqualification: Any market involving method of victory will resolve as No/50-50 if the fight ends in disqualification
  • Postponement: If the fight is postponed beyond September 5, 2026, all markets resolve as 50-50
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the official UFC announcement of the fight resultOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Elise Reed" if Elise Reed is officially declared the winner of the fight against Shanelle Dyer at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Shanelle Dyer" if Shanelle Dyer is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

The market resolves according to the winner of the Dyer vs Reed professional MMA fight originally set for August 22, 2026. Postponements or delays keep the market active until the fight concludes within two weeks of its new date. A tie or no contest leads to an even split, and cancellation or rescheduling beyond two weeks results in a fair price determination. As with similar markets, there is no endorsement from Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC, and any referenced marks are used descriptively.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Reed vs Dyer fight outcome market aggregates predictions across multiple venues, showing how traders on different platforms price the likelihood of various outcomes. It provides a live view of consensus and divergence, reflecting collective wisdom around who might win or if the bout will go the distance. This centralized snapshot helps users compare expectations and spot shifts in sentiment as the event approaches.

Key signals include fight announcements, training updates, injury reports, and changes in fighter rankings or strategies. Media coverage, betting trends on traditional sportsbooks, and any last-minute developments leading up to the event can also shift trader sentiment. As the date approaches, any new information that alters perceptions of competitiveness or fight duration is likely to impact this market’s odds dramatically.