TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 5:46 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Dustin Jacoby" if Dustin Jacoby is officially declared the winner of the fight against Muhammad Said at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov, scheduled for July 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Muhammad Said" if Muhammad Said is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Dustin Jacoby" if Dustin Jacoby is officially declared the winner of the fight against Muhammad Said at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov, scheduled for July 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Muhammad Said" if Muhammad Said is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Prediction market odds in this market reflect the collective wisdom of Polymarket traders, who bet based on their own research and intuition. These odds can diverge from traditional sportsbook lines, which are set by professional oddsmakers and may incorporate different data sources or biases. Comparing the two can reveal where public sentiment differs from expert predictions.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader activity, where participants continuously buy and sell contracts based on their beliefs about the fight’s outcome. The current implied probability reflects the collective wisdom of users on that venue alone, and can shift quickly with new information or betting trends.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official declaration of the fight’s conclusion, reflecting the actual performance of the competitors that night.
Several signals could shift this market before Jul 26, 2026. Key factors include injury updates, training camp performance, pre-fight media events, and betting momentum. Any change in fighter status or public perception may cause rapid price swings, so monitoring news and trading volume will be crucial as the event draws nearer.