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UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin?

Volume:
$1,923,847

Robert Valentin

 - Kalshi

Robert Valentin - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 2:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Robert Valentin

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$922,102
N/A
N/A
$730,485
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,926
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$701
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dusko Todorovic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$687,895
N/A
N/A
$583,447
Settled
No
polymarket

Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$293,696
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,785
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,700
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Valentin to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$654
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$198
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Todorovic to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the UFC Fight Night bout between Duško Todorovic and Robert Valentin will last over or under 1.5 rounds. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome, O/U 1.5 Rounds, is currently 20.0%, combining data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official UFC announcements. The specific catalyst to monitor is the fight itself, scheduled for August 1, 2026, which will determine the final outcome and settle all related markets accordingly as the event window concludes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the same official UFC declarations for fight outcomes, with consistent handling of edge cases like draws, no contests, and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official UFC announcements

Core resolution logic:

  • The winner is determined by the UFC's official declaration post-fight
  • Methods of victory (KO/TKO, submission) are determined by official UFC records
  • Round duration markets resolve based on when the fight ends relative to scheduled round thresholds
  • Draws, no contests, cancellations, or post-August 15 rescheduling result in 50-50 resolution for applicable markets

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Draw or Technical Draw: Resolves to 50-50 for winner markets and 'Yes' for 'Fight to Go the Distance' if decided by judges' scorecards after full rounds
  • No Contest or Cancellation: All markets resolve to 50-50 unless specifically excluded by market rules
  • Exact Threshold Endings: Resolves to 50-50 if fight ends exactly at round threshold for over/under markets
Timing: Resolution occurs after the UFC officially announces the fight result, no later than August 15, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Duško Todorovic" if Duško Todorovic is officially declared the winner of the fight against Robert Valentin at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026. It will resolve to "Robert Valentin" if Robert Valentin is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

If Dusko Todorovic wins the Todorovic vs Valentin professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robert Valentin wins the Todorovic vs Valentin professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks the Todorovic vs. Valentin fight outcome market across multiple platforms, showing how traders on Polymarket and Kalshi price the chances of different results. It displays current probabilities, volume of $1,923,847, and 24-hour volume of $1,827,597, letting you see consensus views and divergences between venues in real time.

Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to decentralized pricing and unique participant dynamics. While sportsbooks may set a static line, traders on Polymarket and Kalshi continuously adjust probabilities based on new information, leading to potentially wider or narrower spreads. The gap can reflect market sentiment, recent fighter news, or betting trends not yet reflected in sportsbook odds.

Key signals that could shift probabilities in this market include injury updates, training camp performance leaks, changes in betting volumes on either fighter, and any last-minute fight cancellations or rematches. Media interviews, social media buzz, and odds movements on major sportsbooks also often influence trader sentiment on Polymarket and Kalshi as the event approaches.