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UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$2,047,897

Bogdan Grad

 - Kalshi

Bogdan Grad - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 11:49 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bogdan Grad

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$842,279
N/A
N/A
$591,988
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$966
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$406
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dennis Buzukja

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$612,869
N/A
N/A
$472,515
Settled
No
polymarket

Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$586,300
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,030
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Grad to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$865
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$705
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$267
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Buzukja to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks the total number of rounds in the UFC Fight Night bout between Dennis Buzukja and Bogdan Grad, scheduled for August 1, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome, O/U 1.5 Rounds, is 99.5% across Polymarket and Kalshi. The resolution source is the official UFC announcement. Watch for the official bout result on August 1, 2026, which will determine the market outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the same official UFC results and use identical criteria for outcomes such as win conditions, method of victory, and fight duration thresholds.Primary resolution logic: Official UFC announcement

Core resolution logic:

  • The fight winner is determined by the UFC's official declaration
  • KO/TKO includes referee, doctor, or corner stoppage
  • Submission includes tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission
  • Draws, no contests, cancellations, or post-August 15 postponements resolve as 50-50 for relevant markets
  • Round thresholds are evaluated based on fight timing, with exact thresholds resolving as 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Threshold: If a fight ends exactly at a round threshold (e.g., end of Round 1 at 2:30), it resolves as 50-50 for over/under markets
  • Disqualification: Any market ending in disqualification resolves as No/50-50 depending on the specific market rules
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately following the official UFC announcement of the fight result, no later than August 15, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Dennis Buzukja" if Dennis Buzukja is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bogdan Grad at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026. It will resolve to "Bogdan Grad" if Bogdan Grad is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

If Dennis Buzukja wins the Buzukja vs Grad professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bogdan Grad wins the Buzukja vs Grad professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Buzukja vs Grad fight outcome market aggregates predictions across multiple venues, showing how traders on different platforms price the likelihood of various results. It displays the current consensus view and volume of $2,047,897 for this market, letting users see where Polymarket and Kalshi stand on questions like fight winners or method of victory.