TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 9:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Darren Elkins" if Darren Elkins is officially declared the winner of the fight against Yadier del Valle at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026. It will resolve to "Yadier del Valle" if Yadier del Valle is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Darren Elkins" if Darren Elkins is officially declared the winner of the fight against Yadier del Valle at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026. It will resolve to "Yadier del Valle" if Yadier del Valle is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the decentralized nature of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their beliefs. This can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing, especially as new information emerges about fighter form, injuries, or changing dynamics in the lead-up to the bout.
This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official declaration of the winner, which is then automatically reflected in the market’s final settlement. No further interpretation is needed beyond the publicly confirmed result of the fight.
Key signals such as pre-fight media appearances, training updates, injury reports, or changes in betting volumes could shift this market. Any surprising development — from a fighter’s performance in sparring sessions to shifts in public sentiment — may cause traders to re-evaluate probabilities. As the fight draws closer, these signals often have an outsized impact on pricing dynamics.