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UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)

Volume:
$5,855,980

Salahdine Parnasse

 - Kalshi

Salahdine Parnasse - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 5:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Salahdine Parnasse

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$676,897
N/A
N/A
$592,559
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Parnasse to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,378
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,706
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,639
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Daniel Hooker

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,352,871
N/A
N/A
$4,066,833
Settled
No
polymarket

Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$661,901
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95,789
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5 Rounds

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,436
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,584
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Hooker to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,383
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,782
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$594
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 4.5 Rounds

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 13

Intro

This market tracks whether the UFC Fight Night bout between Dan Hooker and Salahdine Parnasse on September 5, 2026, will go Over/Under 0.5 Rounds. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket and Kalshi indicates a 100.0% chance of the fight going Over 0.5 Rounds, as determined by official information from the UFC. This aggregated view combines insights from multiple prediction platforms into a single, comprehensive forecast. Keep an eye on the official weigh-in results on September 4, 2026, as any last-minute changes could influence the fight’s likely duration.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi share consistent resolution logic tied to official UFC results and timing thresholdsPrimary resolution logic: Official information from the UFC

Core resolution logic:

  • Winner markets resolve to declared winner; 50-50 for draws, No Contests, cancellations, or postponements beyond September 19, 2026
  • Method-of-victory markets resolve based on official fight ending (KO/TKO, Submission, etc.); 50-50 for non-fights
  • Over/Under round markets resolve based on whether fight duration crosses specified round thresholds; exact thresholds defined per market
  • Fight-to-go-the-distance resolves Yes if all scheduled rounds complete regardless of judge scores; No otherwise

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Threshold: If fight ends exactly at threshold (e.g., 2:30 mark), resolves 50-50
  • Postponement/Cancellation: All markets resolve 50-50 if fight is postponed beyond September 19, 2026, canceled, or ruled No Contest
Timing: Resolution occurs after official UFC announcement of fight resultOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Dan Hooker" if Dan Hooker is officially declared the winner of the fight against Salahdine Parnasse at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026. It will resolve to "Salahdine Parnasse" if Salahdine Parnasse is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

If Daniel Hooker wins the Hooker vs Parnasse professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Salahdine Parnasse wins the Hooker vs Parnasse professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before it closes, including pre-fight media appearances, training updates, injury reports, and changes in betting volumes on either platform. Notable developments — such as a fighter’s performance in the weeks leading up to the bout or shifts in public sentiment following promotional events — often cause rapid repricing. Traders will also watch for any last-minute changes in fight logistics or weigh-in results, all of which can dramatically affect trader confidence and market movement.