TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UFC Fight Night: Angel Pacheco vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Volume:
$1,353,706
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers multiple prediction markets for the UFC Fight Night bantamweight main card bout between Angel Pacheco and Santiago Luna, scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets span winner determination, fight duration thresholds, method of victory, and distance completion across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's winner market contains a logical contradiction: both Santiago Luna winning and Angel Pacheco winning are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible. Polymarket's winner market uses mutually exclusive outcomes (Pacheco vs. Luna) with proper draw/postponement handling. This makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's winner market without clarification from Kalshi support. The market as stated violates basic logic (both outcomes cannot both be Yes). For all other markets (duration, method, distance), Polymarket and Kalshi are consistent. Use Polymarket as the authoritative source for winner resolution and cross-reference method/duration markets for consistency.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Winner market states: 'If Santiago Luna wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Angel Pacheco wins... resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both fighters winning produce the same outcome. No mechanism for draw, no-contest, or postponement is specified.
- Polymarket: Winner market resolves to 'Pacheco' if Angel Pacheco wins, 'Luna' if Santiago Luna wins (mutually exclusive). Draw, technical draw, no-contest, or postponement beyond March 14, 2026 all resolve 50-50. Source: official UFC information.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.