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406,065

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2,692

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UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Alex Perez vs Sumudaerji?

Volume:
$1,683,461

Su Mudaerji

 - Kalshi

Su Mudaerji - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 29, 2026

Closed: Aug 29, 7:34 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Su Mudaerji

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$530,561
N/A
N/A
$393,852
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,555
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,616
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,560
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$364
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$675,431
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alex Perez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$448,091
N/A
N/A
$331,411
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,492
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sumudaerji to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,675
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Perez to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji UFC Fight Night bout will last over or under 2.5 rounds. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome, O/U 2.5 Rounds, is 100.0% across Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official information from the UFC. The upcoming catalyst to watch is the event itself, scheduled for August 29, 2026, which will determine the final outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the same official UFC results and share consistent rules for draws, No Contests, cancellations, and postponements.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the UFC

Core resolution logic:

  • Winner markets resolve to the officially declared winner; draws or No Contests resolve to 50-50
  • Method-of-victory markets resolve based on the official method declared by the UFC
  • Round-duration markets resolve based on the exact round and time the fight ends
  • Any cancellation, postponement beyond September 12, 2026, or No Contest results in 50-50 for all affected markets

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Threshold: If a round-duration market ends exactly at the threshold time, it resolves to 50-50
  • Disqualification: If the fight ends in disqualification, it resolves as 'No' for KO/TKO and submission markets, and as '50-50' for round-duration markets
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official UFC declaration of the fight result, no later than September 12, 2026, or immediately if the bout is canceled or postponed beyond that dateOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Alex Perez" if Alex Perez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Sumudaerji at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Sumudaerji" if Sumudaerji is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

If Alex Perez wins the Perez vs Mudaerji professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Su Mudaerji wins the Perez vs Mudaerji professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.