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406,065

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2,692

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UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims)
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Marlon Vera vs Charles Jourdain?

Volume:
$3,138,141

Marlon Vera

 - Kalshi

Marlon Vera - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 20, 2026

Closed: Sep 19, 9:09 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Marlon Vera

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,768,798
N/A
N/A
$1,091,585
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain

View
100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$334,920
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Vera to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$535
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Vera in Round 3

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Charles Jourdain

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$986,638
N/A
N/A
$691,148
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
69%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,333
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,676
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jourdain to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,963
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$487
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends before Round 3?

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$484
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Decision or Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jourdain in Round 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jourdain in Round 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jourdain in Round 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends before Round 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by decision?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Vera in Round 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Vera in Round 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This group covers various markets related to the UFC 331 bantamweight fight between Marlon Vera and Charles Jourdain, scheduled for September 19, 2026. Markets include who will win, how they will win (KO, submission, decision), whether the fight will go the distance, and round-specific outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi only resolves on a win by either fighter, while Polymarket includes draws, No Contests, and cancellations as a 50-50 outcome.Hero tip: Kalshi's market implicitly assumes the fight will have a definitive winner. Polymarket's market provides a hedge against non-decisive outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the official winner (Vera or Jourdain) or 50-50 if the fight ends in a draw, No Contest, is canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026. "If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Vera or Jourdain wins the fight. "If Marlon Vera wins the Vera vs Jourdain professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Charles Jourdain wins the Vera vs Jourdain professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Marlon Vera" if Marlon Vera is officially declared the winner of the fight against Charles Jourdain at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026. It will resolve to "Charles Jourdain" if Charles Jourdain is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Vera vs Jourdain professional MMA fight originally scheduled for September 19, 2026. If Marlon Vera wins, his market resolves to Yes; if Charles Jourdain wins, his market resolves to Yes. Should the fight be postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled fight concludes, provided it occurs within two weeks of the original date. If the fight ends in a tie or is declared a no contest, both markets resolve at 50/50. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks after the original date, the market resolves to a fair price as determined by the rules. These conditions apply equally to both fighters' markets and are designed to handle various scenarios that may affect the fight's schedule or outcome.