TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims)
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf?

Volume:
$6,904,511

Sean Sharaf

 - Kalshi

Sean Sharaf - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 20, 2026

Closed: Sep 19, 10:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sean Sharaf

View
100%
92%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,418,532
N/A
N/A
$3,529,610
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ends before Round 2?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,336
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sharaf to win by KO/TKO?

100%
96%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,017
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$478
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ends before Round 3?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$222
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sharaf in Round 1

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$92
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gable Steveson

0%
93%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,079,569
N/A
N/A
$1,912,093
Settled
No
polymarket

Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$277,843
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,570
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49,579
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Steveson in Round 2

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,044
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,996
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Steveson in Round 1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,126
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Steveson to win by KO/TKO?

0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$384
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$277
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sharaf in Round 2

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sharaf in Round 3

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Steveson in Round 3

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by decision?

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Decision or Draw

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This group covers various markets related to the UFC 331 heavyweight fight between Gable Steveson and Sean Sharaf, scheduled for September 19, 2026. Markets include the overall winner, method of victory (KO, TKO, submission, decision), round-based outcomes, and whether the fight goes the distance. All markets rely on official UFC information for resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes a 50-50 resolution for draws, no contests, cancellations, or postponements, while Kalshi only resolves to 'Yes' if a fighter wins.Hero tip: Consider the probability of a draw or fight cancellation when trading on Polymarket. Kalshi offers a cleaner market focused solely on a definitive winner.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Gable Steveson' or 'Sean Sharaf' if they win. Resolves to '50-50' if the fight is a draw, no contest, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026. "If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either fighter wins. No explicit mention of draws, no contests, or cancellations. "If Gable Steveson wins the Steveson vs Sharaf professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Gable Steveson" if Gable Steveson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Sean Sharaf at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026. It will resolve to "Sean Sharaf" if Sean Sharaf is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

If Gable Steveson wins the Steveson vs Sharaf professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sean Sharaf wins the Steveson vs Sharaf professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.