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UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Menifield vs Baraniewski?

Volume:
$4,331,259

Alonzo Menifield

 - Kalshi

Alonzo Menifield - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 22, 2026

Closed: Sep 19, 9:51 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alonzo Menifield

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,032,513
N/A
N/A
$1,188,302
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$373,500
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$28,594
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$22,958
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,010
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by decision?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
9¢
N/A
$2,159
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,557
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iwo Baraniewski

View
0%
70%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,840,190
N/A
N/A
$1,351,733
Settled
No
polymarket

Baraniewski to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
70%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,376
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Baraniewski in Round 1

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,259
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Menifield to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,181
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,213
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Menifield in Round 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,023
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Menifield in Round 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Baraniewski in Round 3

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$978
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Baraniewski in Round 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$545
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends before Round 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends before Round 3?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Menifield in Round 1

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Decision or Draw

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 21

Description

This event group covers the UFC 331 Light Heavyweight fight between Alonzo Menifield and Iwo Baraniewski. Markets include predictions on the winner, method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), round-based outcomes, and whether the fight will go the distance.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Slight divergence in the winner resolution scope; Polymarket emphasizes official declaration, while Kalshi focuses on the actual fight result.Hero tip: Consider that Polymarket's resolution might be delayed or influenced by post-fight rulings not immediately apparent in the fight result itself. Kalshi's market is more straightforward.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the official UFC declaration of the fight winner. Allows for potential resolution based on post-fight rulings. "This market will resolve to "Alonzo Menifield" if Alonzo Menifield is officially declared the winner of the fight..."
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on which fighter wins the fight. More direct focus on the fight result. "If Alonzo Menifield wins the Menifield vs Baraniewski professional MMA fight... then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Alonzo Menifield" if Alonzo Menifield is officially declared the winner of the fight against Iwo Baraniewski at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026. It will resolve to "Iwo Baraniewski" if Iwo Baraniewski is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Menifield vs Baraniewski professional MMA fight originally scheduled for September 19, 2026. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled fight concludes, provided it occurs within two weeks of the original date. If the fight ends in a tie or is declared a no contest, the market resolves as a 50/50 split for both participants. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks after the original date, the market resolves at a fair price as determined by the rules. These conditions apply equally to both fighters' markets and operate independently of any official affiliations with combat sports organizations.