TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
kalshi
polymarket

UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Volume:
$4,645,882

Tresean Gore

 - Kalshi

Tresean Gore - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 7:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tresean Gore

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,990,140
N/A
N/A
$1,330,265
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,983
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,252
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,657
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$674
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vicente Luque

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,742,415
N/A
N/A
$1,116,115
Settled
No
polymarket

Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$886,240
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Gore to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,289
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$630
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Luque to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$134
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the UFC 330 middleweight fight between Vicente Luque and Tresean Gore, scheduled for August 15, 2026, will go the distance. The aggregated consensus probability for the fight going the distance stands at 100.0%, drawn from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on official information from the UFC. Watch for the fight's conclusion on August 15, 2026, to confirm the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets resolve based on the official UFC declaration of the fight result, with consistent handling of draws, No Contests, cancellations, and postponements.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the UFC

Core resolution logic:

  • The fight winner is determined by the UFC's official declaration
  • Draws, No Contests, cancellations, or postponements beyond August 29, 2026 trigger 50-50 resolutions for specific markets
  • Fight duration and method of victory are determined by official UFC timing and result reports

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Threshold Finishes: If a round-ending event occurs exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 mark), the market resolves 50-50
  • Disqualification: Any market specifying KO/TKO, submission, or method of victory will resolve 'No' if the fight ends in disqualification
Timing: Resolution occurs after the UFC officially declares the fight result, no later than August 29, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Vicente Luque" if Vicente Luque is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tresean Gore at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Tresean Gore" if Tresean Gore is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Luque vs Gore professional MMA fight originally scheduled for August 15, 2026. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled fight concludes within two weeks. A tie or no contest results in a 50/50 resolution for both fighters, while cancellation or rescheduling beyond two weeks leads to a fair price resolution. These rules apply independently to markets for each fighter and do not imply endorsement by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Luque vs Gore fight market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the chances of different outcomes. It displays total volume of $4,645,882 and 24-hour volume of $3,857,731, letting you see consensus views and divergence across venues. This centralized view helps you monitor sentiment shifts as the event approaches, giving context to movements in this market.

Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Key updates like fight announcements, training injuries, or changes in fighter rankings may influence trader sentiment. Media coverage and pre-fight hype can also create momentum swings. As the event approaches, any last-minute announcements or performance insights from weigh-ins and press conferences are likely to drive notable adjustments in pricing.