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UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims)
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj?

Volume:
$2,729,997

Neil Magny

 - Kalshi

Neil Magny - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 6:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Neil Magny

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$795,847
N/A
N/A
$542,118
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$684,295
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Magny to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,028
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,563
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,011
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$425
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ramiz Brahimaj

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,180,068
N/A
N/A
$1,002,359
Settled
No
polymarket

Brahimaj to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,456
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,408
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,056
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,841
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the UFC 330 welterweight fight between Neil Magny and Ramiz Brahimaj will end by submission. The aggregated consensus probability for this outcome stands at 100.0%, combining data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on official information from the UFC. The outcome will be determined by the official UFC declaration of the fight result, so watch for the fight's conclusion on August 15, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets resolve based on the official UFC declaration of the fight result, with consistent handling of draws, No Contests, and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the UFC

Core resolution logic:

  • The winner is determined by the UFC's official declaration
  • Draws, No Contests, and fights canceled/postponed beyond August 29, 2026 resolve as specified (typically 50-50)
  • Methods of victory (KO/TKO, submission) are determined by UFC official records
  • Round duration thresholds are measured by official fight timing

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Threshold: If a fight ends exactly at a round threshold (e.g., exactly at 2:30 of Round 1 for O/U 0.5 Rounds), it resolves as 50-50
  • Disqualification: Fights ending in disqualification resolve as 'No' for KO/TKO and submission markets, and do not count as a win for either fighter
Timing: Markets resolve after the official UFC declaration of the fight result, no later than August 29, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Neil Magny" if Neil Magny is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ramiz Brahimaj at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Ramiz Brahimaj" if Ramiz Brahimaj is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

If Neil Magny wins the Magny vs Brahimaj professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ramiz Brahimaj wins the Magny vs Brahimaj professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Magny vs Brahimaj fight market aggregates betting activity across multiple venues, showing real-time consensus views and volume trends. It tracks how traders on different platforms price the likelihood of various outcomes, offering a snapshot of collective wisdom around this market. The display includes total volume of $2,729,997 and 24-hour volume of $2,144,072, helping users gauge interest and momentum as the event approaches.