TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$3,206,704

Jeremiah Wells

 - Kalshi

Jeremiah Wells - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 6:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jeremiah Wells

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,357,742
N/A
N/A
$1,001,164
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai

View
100%
90%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$592,670
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,248
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,661
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,601
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Myktybek Orolbay Uulu

View
0%
88%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,231,052
N/A
N/A
$1,111,822
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,371
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wells to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,152
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$718
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Orolbai to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$332
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$157
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the welterweight fight between Jeremiah Wells and Myktybek Orolbai at UFC 330 will last more than half a round. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome, over/under 0.5 rounds, is 94.0%, combining data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official information from the UFC. Watch for the official fight result on August 15, 2026, to determine the market outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the same official UFC result, with consistent handling of draws, no contests, cancellations, and postponements.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the UFC

Core resolution logic:

  • Winner markets resolve to the declared winner; draws, no contests, cancellations, or postponements resolve as 50-50
  • Method-of-victory markets (KO/TKO, submission) resolve to Yes only if the fight ends by that method; otherwise No; draws, no contests, cancellations, or postponements resolve as 50-50
  • Round-duration markets resolve Over if the fight lasts beyond the listed threshold, Under if it ends before, and 50-50 if it ends exactly at the threshold or if the bout is not scored, postponed, or canceled

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Draw or Technical Draw: Resolves as 50-50 for all markets unless the draw is decided by judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds (which resolves Yes for "Fight to Go the Distance")
  • No Contest or Not Scored: Resolves as 50-50 for all markets
  • Cancellation or Postponement: Resolves as 50-50 if occurs beyond August 29, 2026
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official UFC declaration of the fight result, no later than August 29, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Jeremiah Wells" if Jeremiah Wells is officially declared the winner of the fight against Myktybek Orolbai at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Myktybek Orolbai" if Myktybek Orolbai is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

If Jeremiah Wells wins the Wells vs Uulu professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Myktybek Orolbay Uulu wins the Wells vs Uulu professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the UFC 330 welterweight fight market aggregates real-time data across platforms, showing how traders price the outcome of this bout. It tracks volume of $3,206,704 and 24-hour volume of $2,964,213, alongside shifting probabilities for each possible result. This centralized view lets users compare sentiment and liquidity trends as the event approaches, giving insight into collective expectations for the match.