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UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes?

Volume:
$6,091,431

Jalin Turner

 - Kalshi

Jalin Turner - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 10:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jalin Turner

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,326,967
N/A
N/A
$2,004,884
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,455,941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kaue Fernandes

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,235,132
N/A
N/A
$2,132,892
Settled
No
polymarket

Turner to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,878
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,682
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,412
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,149
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,348
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,948
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,111
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fernandes to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$863
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether Jalin Turner will win the professional MMA fight against Kauê Fernandes scheduled for August 15, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability across Polymarket and Kalshi shows a leading outcome at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by official information from the UFC. The key catalyst to watch is the official result declaration following the fight's conclusion on August 15, 2026, with settlement expected by August 16, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the official UFC declaration of the fight result, with consistent handling of draws, No Contests, cancellations, and threshold edge cases.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the UFC

Core resolution logic:

  • The winner is determined by the UFC's official declaration.
  • Methods of victory (KO/TKO, Submission) are determined by the official result.
  • Fight duration is measured by the number of rounds completed per UFC's official timing.
  • Draws, No Contests, cancellations, or post-August 29, 2026 postponements resolve to 50-50 for all markets unless otherwise specified.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Threshold: If a fight ends exactly at a round threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for O/U 0.5 Rounds), it resolves to 50-50.
  • Disqualification: If the fight ends in disqualification, all markets resolve to 'No' or '50-50' depending on the specific market rules.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the UFC officially declares the result, no later than August 29, 2026.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Jalin Turner" if Jalin Turner is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kauê Fernandes at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Kauê Fernandes" if Kauê Fernandes is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

If Jalin Turner wins the Turner vs Fernandes professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kaue Fernandes wins the Turner vs Fernandes professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Turner vs Fernandes fight market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of different outcomes. It tracks volume of $6,091,431 and 24-hour volume of $5,631,789, helping users see where consensus stands across platforms. This unified view lets participants compare sentiment in the Turner vs Fernandes fight market against other prediction markets, revealing shifts in expectations as the event approaches.

Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute fighter changes, injury updates, or significant media coverage influencing public perception. Training camp performance leaks, weigh-in results, and even booking or promotion news can also impact trader sentiment. As the event draws nearer, any update that alters the perceived likelihood of different outcomes may cause rapid price adjustments across platforms.