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406,065

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2,692

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5

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UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson?

Volume:
$2,282,696

Donte Johnson

 - Kalshi

Donte Johnson - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 7:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Donte Johnson

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$880,172
N/A
N/A
$754,223
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Johnson to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,484
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$331
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Eric McConico

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,053,629
N/A
N/A
$1,010,459
Settled
No
polymarket

Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$301,073
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,610
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,156
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,058
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
0%
80%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$859
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

McConico to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$718
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether Donte Johnson will win the professional MMA fight against Eric McConico scheduled for August 15, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for Donte Johnson winning stands at 99.0%. Data is drawn from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official information from the UFC. The result will be confirmed following the official end of the betting period on August 16, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms resolve based on the official UFC result for the Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson fight, with consistent handling of draws, no contests, cancellations, and postponements.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the UFC

Core resolution logic:

  • The winner is determined by the UFC's official declaration.
  • Method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision) follows UFC's official ruling.
  • Round duration is measured by official fight timing.
  • Draws, no contests, cancellations, or postponements beyond August 29, 2026, resolve as 50-50 where applicable.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Draw or Technical Draw: Resolves as 50-50 for winner markets and as 'Yes' for 'Fight to Go the Distance' if decided by judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds.
  • No Contest or Cancellation: All markets resolve as 50-50 unless explicitly stated otherwise.
  • Exact Threshold for Over/Under Rounds: Resolves as 50-50 if the fight ends exactly at the threshold time.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official UFC announcement of the fight result, no later than August 29, 2026.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Eric McConico" if Eric McConico is officially declared the winner of the fight against Donte Johnson at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Donte Johnson" if Donte Johnson is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

The market resolves according to the winner of the Johnson vs McConico professional MMA fight originally scheduled for August 15, 2026. Postponements or delays keep the market open until the rescheduled fight ends within two weeks. If the match ends in a tie or no contest, it resolves 50/50 for both participants, and cancellation or rescheduling beyond two weeks leads to a fair price. Each fighter has an independent market under these rules, which are descriptive and do not signify endorsement by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the McConico vs Johnson fight market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of different outcomes. It tracks total volume of $2,282,696 and recent 24-hour volume of $1,333,573, letting you see where interest is growing. The view updates continuously, so you can watch how sentiment shifts ahead of the bout. This cross-platform snapshot helps you spot consensus or divergence in expectations for this middleweight clash.

Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates, training camp performance highlights, and any last-minute changes to fight strategy or officiating announcements. Media interviews or social media buzz from the fighters themselves often influence trader sentiment, causing rapid price adjustments. As the event nears, even minor developments like weigh-in results or promotional events can create noticeable movement in this market.