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UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$5,299,253

Dustin Stoltzfus

 - Kalshi

Dustin Stoltzfus - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 10:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Dustin Stoltzfus

View
100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,307,409
N/A
N/A
$1,456,148
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$923,073
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$26,301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,566
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$429
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mansur Abdul-Malik

View
0%
85%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,988,592
N/A
N/A
$1,662,870
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,416
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Abdul-Malik to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,998
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,550
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,028
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Stoltzfus to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$890
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik middleweight fight at UFC 330 will last more than half a round. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome, Over 0.5 Rounds, is currently 93.0%. Data is drawn from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official information from the UFC. The key catalyst to monitor is the event date on August 15, 2026, which determines the fight's official outcome and all related market settlements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi share identical resolution logic tied to official UFC results, with consistent handling of draws, No Contests, cancellations, and exact threshold cases.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the UFC

Core resolution logic:

  • The fight winner determines the resolution of the main winner market; draws, No Contests, cancellations, or postponements beyond August 29, 2026 resolve as 50-50.
  • Fight duration markets (O/U Rounds) resolve based on whether the fight crosses the specified round threshold, with exact threshold endings resolving as 50-50.
  • Method-of-victory markets (KO/TKO, Submission) resolve only if the fight ends by the specified method; otherwise they resolve as No, with draws, No Contests, cancellations, or postponements resolving as 50-50.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Threshold: If the fight ends exactly at the threshold time for Over/Under round markets, it resolves as 50-50.
  • No Contest / Cancellation: All markets resolve as 50-50 if the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official UFC declaration of the fight result, which must be made no later than August 29, 2026 for fights that proceed as scheduled.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Dustin Stoltzfus" if Dustin Stoltzfus is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mansur Abdul-Malik at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Mansur Abdul-Malik" if Mansur Abdul-Malik is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the professional MMA fight between Mansur Abdul-Malik and Dustin Stoltzfus originally scheduled for August 15, 2026. If Abdul-Malik wins, his market resolves to Yes; if Stoltzfus wins, his market resolves to Yes. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled fight concludes within two weeks. In the event of a tie or no contest, both markets resolve at 50/50. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks beyond the original date, the market resolves at a fair price. These markets are not endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship or UFC, and references to UFC are descriptive only.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Stoltzfus vs Abdul-Malik fight market aggregates real-time data across platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of different outcomes. It displays total volume of $5,299,253 and 24-hour volume of $5,169,473, letting users compare sentiment and monitor shifts as the event approaches. This cross-platform view helps you see where consensus is building and spot early signals of changing expectations.