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UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez?

Volume:
$1,024,327

Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez

 - Polymarket

Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 9:16 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$774,721
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fight goes the distance

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$125,911
N/A
N/A
$78,481
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$110,104
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$307
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Álvarez to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,285
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,061
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Njokuani to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,236
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$515
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event group covers markets for the UFC 330 fight between Chidi Njokuani and Joel Álvarez, scheduled for August 15, 2026. Markets include outcomes such as winner, method of victory, rounds lasted, and whether the fight goes the distance.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets resolve based on official UFC results, with consistent handling of draws, No Contests, cancellations, and postponements beyond August 29, 2026.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the UFC

Core resolution logic:

  • Winner markets resolve to the officially declared winner; draws or No Contests resolve to 50-50
  • Method of victory markets (KO/TKO, Submission) resolve based on the official method declared by the UFC
  • Round duration markets (O/U X.5 Rounds) resolve based on whether the fight lasts beyond the specified round threshold
  • Any fight not occurring by August 29, 2026 due to cancellation or postponement resolves all markets to 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Threshold: If a round-based market ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., ends at 2:30 of Round 1 for O/U 0.5 Rounds), it resolves to 50-50
  • Disqualification: If the fight ends in disqualification, outcome markets resolve to 'No' for KO/TKO or Submission, and 50-50 for winner markets
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official UFC announcement of the fight result, typically within 24-48 hours of the eventOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Chidi Njokuani" if Chidi Njokuani is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joel Álvarez at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Joel Álvarez" if Joel Álvarez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

If the Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Alvarez 330 fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 goes the distance, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the UFC 330 Njokuani vs. Álvarez fight market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of various outcomes in this market. It displays current probabilities, volume of $1,024,327, and 24-hour volume of $966,356 across platforms, letting users see consensus views and spot shifts in sentiment as the event approaches. This centralized view helps participants compare odds, gauge market momentum, and react quickly to new information influencing the fight’s expected result.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can diverge because of differing user bases, liquidity levels, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more sharp traders who heavily weigh recent training reports, while the other could reflect broader public sentiment. These variations in participation and information flow often create price gaps, meaning Polymarket and Kalshi may show distinct probabilities for the same outcome at any given moment.