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UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)
kalshi
polymarket

UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$677,132

Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr

 - Polymarket

Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 12, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$661,261
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Swanson to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,077
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$734
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cub Swanson to win in Round 1

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$424
N/A
N/A
$424
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,590
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,963
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cub Swanson to win in Round 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,498
N/A
N/A
$1,498
Settled
No
kalshi

Cub Swanson to win in Round 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,158
N/A
N/A
$1,158
Settled
No
kalshi

Nate Landwehr to win in Round 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$458
N/A
N/A
$458
Settled
No
kalshi

Nate Landwehr to win in Round 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$337
N/A
N/A
$337
Settled
No
kalshi

Nate Landwehr to win in Round 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$258
N/A
N/A
$258
Settled
No
polymarket

Landwehr to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$174
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This market will resolve to "Cub Swanson" if Cub Swanson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nate Landwehr at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Nate Landwehr" if Nate Landwehr is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi resolves on any fight outcome (winner in any round), while Polymarket offers multiple specific outcome markets (KO/TKO, submission, distance, round duration). Kalshi's markets are binary on fight winner; Polymarket's markets are binary on method of victory or fight duration. These are fundamentally different settlement scopes.Hero tip: If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on who wins the fight regardless of method or timing. If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on specific fight outcomes (method of finish or round duration). A Kalshi YES (either fighter wins) does not directly correspond to any single Polymarket outcome—you must know the method and timing to map Kalshi to Polymarket. Hedge carefully across platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers six binary markets, each resolving YES if a specific fighter wins in a specific round (Swanson R1, R2, R3; Landwehr R1, R2, R3). No method-of-victory or duration markets are offered. Resolution is purely on fighter identity and round of victory, with no reference to KO/TKO, submission, or judges' decision.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers eight markets covering method of victory (KO/TKO by either fighter, submission, judges' decision/distance) and fight duration (O/U 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 rounds), plus a head-to-head winner market. Each market resolves on specific fight outcome characteristics (finish method, round duration, or winner identity), not just round of victory.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.