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UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)
kalshi
polymarket

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

Volume:
$602,736

Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado

 - Polymarket

Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 12, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$362,815
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Charles Radtke

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$160,194
N/A
N/A
$154,847
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Radtke to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,181
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,247
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$207
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$180
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Francisco Prado

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71,375
N/A
N/A
$66,895
Settled
No
polymarket

Prado to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$178
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$116
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$96
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Charles Radtke" if Charles Radtke is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francisco Prado at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Francisco Prado" if Francisco Prado is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi resolves on a binary outcome (either fighter wins), while Polymarket offers multiple granular markets covering specific fight outcomes (KO/TKO by each fighter, decision, submission, round duration). The platforms use different market structures and scopes, creating divergent settlement pathways.Hero tip: If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on a simple binary: Radtke or Prado wins. On Polymarket, you can isolate specific outcomes like KO/TKO, decision, or submission. Your Kalshi YES resolves if either fighter wins; your Polymarket markets resolve only if the specific method matches. Hedge carefully across platforms if you want exposure to multiple outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi offers only a binary winner market with no method or round-duration specificity. The market resolves YES if 'Charles Radtke wins' OR 'Francisco Prado wins' the fight, with no granularity on how the fight ends. Quote: 'If Charles Radtke wins the Radtke vs Prado professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Francisco Prado wins the Radtke vs Prado professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket provides seven separate markets covering fight winner (generic), KO/TKO by Radtke, KO/TKO by Prado, decision/distance, submission, and round thresholds (O/U 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 rounds). Each market has independent resolution criteria tied to specific fight outcomes and methods. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if Charles Radtke defeats Francisco Prado at UFC 327 by KO or TKO' and 'This market will resolve to Yes if the fight between Charles Radtke and Francisco Prado goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.