TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Volume:
$2,301,325
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers multiple prediction markets for the UFC 326 bantamweight main card fight between Rob Font and Raul Rosas Jr., scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets span winner determination, method of victory (KO/TKO vs submission), fight duration (over/under round thresholds), and whether the fight goes to judges' decision.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's winner market contains a logical contradiction where both possible fight outcomes (Font win and Rosas Jr. win) resolve to Yes, rendering the market unresolvable. Polymarket provides mutually exclusive categorical outcomes (Rob Font / Raul Rosas Jr. / 50-50) with explicit edge-case handling and a March 21, 2026 postponement deadline.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's winner market as currently specified—it is logically incoherent. Use Polymarket as the settlement standard: Rob Font wins resolves to 'Rob Font', Raul Rosas Jr. wins resolves to 'Raul Rosas Jr.', and any draw, no contest, cancellation, or postponement beyond March 21, 2026 resolves to 50-50. For method and duration markets, apply the March 21 deadline uniformly across all Polymarket sub-markets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Winner market states both Font victory and Rosas Jr. victory resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. No edge-case handling for draws, cancellations, or postponements is specified. Resolution source is not explicitly named.
- Polymarket: Winner market resolves to specific fighter names (Rob Font / Raul Rosas Jr.) or 50-50 for draws, no contests, cancellations, or postponements beyond March 21, 2026. Method markets (KO/TKO, submission) and duration markets (O/U rounds) all include explicit 50-50 resolution for non-scored bouts or postponements beyond March 21. Primary source is official UFC information.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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