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UFC 326: Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes (Featherweight, Prelims)
kalshi
polymarket

UFC 326: Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes (Featherweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$698,996

Alberto Montes

 - Kalshi

Alberto Montes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 8, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alberto Montes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$120,533
N/A
N/A
$117,955
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$550
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$204
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$513,526
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ricky Turcios

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,622
N/A
N/A
$56,150
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,276
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,284
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,012
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$751
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Turcios to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$135
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Montes to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$103
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event group covers multiple prediction markets on the UFC 326 featherweight preliminary bout between Ricky Turcios and Alberto Montes, scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets span fighter victory, method of victory (KO/TKO, submission), fight duration (over/under round thresholds), and whether the fight goes the distance. All markets reference official UFC resolution sources.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All Kalshi and Polymarket markets apply identical edge-case logic (50-50 for draws, disqualifications, no contests, and postponements beyond March 21, 2026) and cite the same official UFC resolution source.Primary resolution logic: Official UFC information (https://www.ufc.com/events)

Core resolution logic:

  • Fighter victory resolves to the officially declared winner by UFC; if no winner is declared (draw, no contest, technical decision), resolves 50-50.
  • KO/TKO victory includes referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, and corner stoppage; disqualifications and draws resolve No.
  • Submission victory includes tapout, verbal submission, and technical submission (referee stoppage due to submission hold); disqualifications and draws resolve No.
  • Fight-goes-the-distance resolves Yes only if all scheduled rounds are completed and result is determined by judges' scorecards (including judge-decided draws); technical decisions or technical draws before all rounds resolve No.
  • Over/Under round thresholds: Over resolves Yes if fight continues past the threshold time (e.g., past 2:30 of Round 3 for 2.5 line); Under resolves Yes if fight ends before threshold; exact threshold time resolves 50-50.
  • No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 21, 2026: all applicable markets resolve 50-50.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Draw or Technical Draw: Resolves 50-50 for fighter victory markets; resolves No for method-specific markets (KO/TKO, submission); resolves Yes for fight-goes-the-distance if all rounds completed and judges' scorecards determine the draw.
  • Disqualification: Resolves No for all method-specific markets (KO/TKO, submission); resolves 50-50 for fighter victory markets.
  • No Contest or Not Scored: All markets resolve 50-50.
  • Postponement Beyond March 21, 2026: All markets resolve 50-50.
  • Exact Round Threshold: For over/under round markets, if the fight ends exactly at the threshold time (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for 1.5 line), the market resolves 50-50.
Timing: Resolution occurs on or shortly after March 7, 2026, upon official UFC declaration of fight outcome. If the bout is postponed, resolution window extends to March 21, 2026; postponement beyond that date triggers 50-50 resolution.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.