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UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)
kalshi
polymarket

UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)

Volume:
$3,230,398

Drew Dober

 - Kalshi

Drew Dober - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 8, 2026

Closed: Mar 8, 3:20 AM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Drew Dober

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$715,106
N/A
N/A
$631,010
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,055
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dober to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,083,118
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Johnson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$413,520
N/A
N/A
$371,250
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,152
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,502
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Johnson to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,148
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$306
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event group covers multiple prediction markets for the UFC 326 lightweight main card bout between Michael Johnson and Drew Dober, scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets span fighter outcome, method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), fight duration (round overs/unders), and distance completion.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use official UFC records as the sole resolution authority, apply identical edge-case rules (No Contest, cancellation, or postponement beyond March 21, 2026 resolve to 50-50), and define fight outcomes and methods consistently across all markets.Primary resolution logic: Official UFC records and announcements (ufc.com)

Core resolution logic:

  • Fighter outcome resolves to the fighter officially declared the winner by UFC, or 50-50 if draw, technical draw, No Contest, or not scored
  • KO/TKO method includes referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, and corner stoppage
  • Submission method includes tapout, verbal submission, and technical submission (referee stoppage due to submission hold)
  • Decision method resolves Yes only if fight goes full scheduled rounds and result determined by judges' scorecards; judges' draws count as Yes
  • Fight duration (round overs/unders) resolves Over if fight continues past the specified round threshold (e.g., past 2:30 of Round 1 for 0.5 line); resolves Under if ends before threshold; exact threshold time = 50-50
  • Disqualification of either fighter resolves KO/TKO and submission markets to No, but resolves main outcome to 50-50 if applicable
  • Any bout ruled No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 21, 2026 resolves all markets to 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Round Threshold: If fight ends exactly at the threshold time (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for 1.5 line), that market resolves 50-50
  • Technical Draw or Technical Decision: Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed resolve No on distance markets; judges' draws after full rounds resolve Yes on distance markets
  • No Contest or Not Scored: All markets resolve 50-50 if bout is ruled No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 21, 2026
  • Disqualification: Disqualification of either fighter resolves method-of-victory markets (KO/TKO, submission) to No; main outcome resolves 50-50
  • Draw by Judge Decision: Judges' draw after all scheduled rounds resolves Yes on distance market; main outcome resolves 50-50
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately upon official UFC declaration of fight outcome. Cutoff for valid resolution is March 21, 2026; any postponement beyond this date triggers 50-50 resolution across all markets.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.