TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)
kalshi
polymarket

UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$1,245,965

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel

 - Kalshi

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 8, 2026

Closed: Mar 8, 12:20 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$473,144
N/A
N/A
$380,492
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24,452
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,476
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$426
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$420,229
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cody Durden

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$319,194
N/A
N/A
$258,834
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,194
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Durden to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$302
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tumendemberel to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$241
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$214
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event group covers UFC 326 preliminary fight between Cody Durden and Nyamjargal Tumendemberel at flyweight. Markets span fight winner, method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), fight duration (rounds), and distance outcomes, all scheduled for March 7, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory (both fighters cannot resolve to YES). Polymarket provides coherent, granular markets with explicit edge-case rules. The platforms are not comparable; Kalshi's market is fundamentally unresolvable.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's market. It violates basic logical consistency. Use only Polymarket's seven markets, which clearly define winner determination, method of victory, round thresholds, and cancellation outcomes with 50-50 splits for no-contest, draw, or postponement beyond March 21, 2026.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Single binary market with contradictory resolution logic: 'If Cody Durden wins...YES' and 'If Nyamjargal Tumendemberel wins...YES'. Both fighters cannot resolve to the same outcome. No edge cases, cancellation rules, or draw handling provided. Market is logically incoherent and unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: Seven distinct markets: (1) Winner (Durden vs Tumendemberel, 50-50 on draw/no-contest/postponement >Mar 21); (2) Distance (Yes if full rounds completed, 50-50 on no-contest/cancellation); (3-5) Round thresholds (O/U 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 rounds with exact-threshold 50-50 splits); (6-7) KO/TKO and submission outcomes (50-50 on draw/disqualification/no-contest/cancellation). All source official UFC.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.