TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)
Volume:
$1,245,965
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers UFC 326 preliminary fight between Cody Durden and Nyamjargal Tumendemberel at flyweight. Markets span fight winner, method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), fight duration (rounds), and distance outcomes, all scheduled for March 7, 2026.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory (both fighters cannot resolve to YES). Polymarket provides coherent, granular markets with explicit edge-case rules. The platforms are not comparable; Kalshi's market is fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market. It violates basic logical consistency. Use only Polymarket's seven markets, which clearly define winner determination, method of victory, round thresholds, and cancellation outcomes with 50-50 splits for no-contest, draw, or postponement beyond March 21, 2026.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Single binary market with contradictory resolution logic: 'If Cody Durden wins...YES' and 'If Nyamjargal Tumendemberel wins...YES'. Both fighters cannot resolve to the same outcome. No edge cases, cancellation rules, or draw handling provided. Market is logically incoherent and unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Seven distinct markets: (1) Winner (Durden vs Tumendemberel, 50-50 on draw/no-contest/postponement >Mar 21); (2) Distance (Yes if full rounds completed, 50-50 on no-contest/cancellation); (3-5) Round thresholds (O/U 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 rounds with exact-threshold 50-50 splits); (6-7) KO/TKO and submission outcomes (50-50 on draw/disqualification/no-contest/cancellation). All source official UFC.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.